Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
This Polymarket market asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will touch $105 at any point during a June 2026 trading session. It resolves on July 1, 2026, based on Pyth-published 1-minute candle high or low prices, with $3,084 in tracked smart money and 1 signal currently noted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,205.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil thesis bettor
Profitable cross-market bettor is adding to a broader WTI oil thesis with $18.4k across four related markets and a strong 74% resolved-bet record.
- This bettor has won 74% of 88 resolved bets and is up $257k lifetime.
- They have put $18.4k across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- Entry at 89¢ is a high-confidence No bet as Yes odds have fallen sharply over the past week.
$3,084 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, selling No across related WTI markets despite only a modest standalone trade size.
- This wallet is up about $210K lifetime and has put over $200K across 9 related oil markets.
- Selling No here is equivalent to buying Yes at 26¢ on WTI reaching $105 in June.
- The trade fits a broader directional thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$1,056 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
Macro trader across 9 oil markets
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad No thesis across 9 related WTI oil markets, with price momentum already moving in its favor.
- This wallet has put $172K across 9 related oil markets, showing a broad bearish thesis on WTI spike outcomes.
- The trader is up about $198K lifetime despite a 43% hit rate, suggesting selective but profitable positioning.
- This No entry at 80¢ is already marked around 84¢ after the market moved 18 points toward No today.
$2,621 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad bearish WTI thesis across 9 related markets, with this No buy aligned with strong recent price momentum.
- This bettor is up about $198k lifetime across $13.0M traded.
- They have $158k positioned across 9 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis.
- Buying No at 75¢ follows a sharp 19-point drop in Yes odds over the past day.
$2,047 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
$100k oil ladder thesis
Profitable wallet is building a broad bearish WTI thesis across 9 related oil markets, including a fresh No buy on the $105 June strike after Yes dropped sharply.
- This wallet has placed $100k across 9 related oil markets, pointing to a broad bearish WTI view.
- The bettor is up $257k lifetime and is adding No after Yes fell 9 points today.
- Entry at 69¢ implies they see WTI hitting $105 in June as unlikely.
$2,657 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
13-wallet funded cluster
A 13-wallet funded cluster is taking a fresh No position on a meaningful oil-price market, though the individual wallet’s standalone record is only modest.
- This wallet is part of a 13-wallet cluster funded by the same source.
- The cluster is backing No at 67¢ on WTI reaching $105 in June.
- The $1.7k buy is meaningful versus about $17k of displayed liquidity.
$1,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xf467...935f — No, $11,789 (97% win rate)
- 0x7a38...d6ab — Yes, $11,200 (60% win rate)
- 0x72a0...c059 — No, $8,738 (52% win rate)
- 0x6992...6c1d — Yes, $7,713 (33% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — No, $7,210 (46% win rate)
- 0x56ba...96ab — Yes, $7,000
- 0x4ba4...8a89 — No, $6,662
- 0xbfe2...8c49 — No, $5,124 (59% win rate)
- 0x1a29...9b2e — No, $4,730 (74% win rate)
- 0xb971...e7ae — No, $3,659 (67% win rate)
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