Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians
This prediction market covers the May 27 MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cleveland Guardians, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds plus smart-money activity, with $3,345 tracked and 1 current smart-money signal ahead of resolution on June 3, 2026.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $223,249.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable sports bettor combo
Profitable high-volume sports bettor is pairing Guardians moneyline with Under, with the Guardians entry already moving from 88¢ to 96¢.
- This bettor is up about $597K across more than 6,400 resolved trades.
- They bought Cleveland at 88¢ before the market moved to 96¢.
- They also paired it with an Under bet, suggesting a broader game script view.
$2,450 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial trader with a large resolved sample is buying Cleveland at 85¢, though the market is liquid and the signal is mainly the bettor’s track record.
- This bettor is up $1.94M across more than 3,100 resolved trades.
- They have traded 2,183 markets across 1,665 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 85¢ is a favorite bet, but the wallet’s long-term profit makes the position worth tracking.
$3,345 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 68%
Fresh whale backs Cleveland
Brand-new wallet made a $13.5k Cleveland bet as part of $52k in repeat flagged large bets, with a major volume spike supporting unusual attention despite no resolved track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $13.5k on Cleveland and has already had $52k in large bets flagged.
- Market volume is running 154x above its usual pace, suggesting unusual attention around this game.
- Cleveland is now near 50¢, meaning the same side is available cheaper than the whale’s 61¢ entry.
$13,543 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Washington at 35¢ before a major volume spike and the price has already moved to 50¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 63% wins across 4,066 resolved bets and about $600K in profit.
- They bought Washington at 35¢, and the market has already moved to 50¢.
- This market saw a 154x volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving in the same window.
$3,680 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Washington at 35¢ ahead of a large pre-event volume spike, and the market has already moved to 50¢.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 7,237 resolved bets and over $3.1M in profit.
- They bought Washington at 35¢ before the market moved to 50¢, suggesting they caught a major misprice.
- Market activity spiked 154x above normal before the game, adding support to the move.
$2,770 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable Nationals cluster
Four profitable, high-volume wallets bought Nationals at 34–35¢ in coordinated flow before the market jumped to 50¢ amid a major volume spike.
- Four wallets bought $11.6K of Nationals at 34–35¢ before the price moved to 50¢.
- Two major serial traders are involved, with 63% and 68% win records and over $3.7M combined profit.
- Market volume spiked 162x versus normal, suggesting this was not routine pregame action.
$11,567 on Washington Nationals
Brand-new whale backing Guardians
A brand-new wallet put $52k into Cleveland across five buys, driving a major pre-game volume spike despite having no resolved track record yet.
- A wallet created 32 minutes earlier bought $52k of Cleveland, a large first move on an MLB market.
- The same wallet scaled in across five buys, mostly around 61–65¢, showing concentrated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 95x versus its historical average, suggesting this was part of unusually heavy pre-game flow.
$52,112 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 100%
Brand-new MLB whale
A brand-new wallet immediately deployed $38.6k on Cleveland across three buys, coinciding with a major pre-game volume spike.
- A 28-minute-old wallet put $38.6k on Cleveland across three quick buys.
- The market saw a 76.7x pre-game volume spike, suggesting this was part of unusually heavy flow.
- Average entry was about 64¢, in line with current odds but with clear concentrated conviction.
$38,569 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 100%
5-wallet Cleveland buy wave
High-score coordinated pregame flow: five wallets bought $51K of Cleveland during a 62x volume spike, though wallet track records are not especially sharp.
- Five wallets bought $51K of Cleveland within about 20 minutes before the MLB game.
- The burst was 62x the market’s historical volume baseline and about 76% of listed liquidity.
- The biggest wallet added $40K at 62¢, showing concentrated conviction at the current price.
$51,143 on Cleveland Guardians
92% winner backs underdog
Sharp MLB bettor with a 92% historical win rate and strong profit bought Washington despite Cleveland being favored, with market volume also spiking pre-game.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $52,250 lifetime.
- They bought Washington at 39¢, backing the underdog against a 62¢ Cleveland favorite.
- Pre-game trading volume is 62x above normal, adding momentum to the signal.
$1,170 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11188249, $95,024 (71% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 11188249, $70,565 (64% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 11188249, $29,216 (44% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Outcome 11188249, $14,155 (53% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 11188249, $12,821 (92% win rate)
- 0x6853...5846 — Outcome 67776060, $9,800 (63% win rate)
- 0x13ff...16a3 — Outcome 11188249, $7,484 (51% win rate)
- 0xbc8c...273f — Outcome 67776060, $6,522 (79% win rate)
- 0x1be7...a6e3 — Outcome 11188249, $5,556
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 11188249, $5,281 (70% win rate)
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