Part of: 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,014.

Notable Trades

Five-wallet surge on Zverev Yes

Five experienced wallets bought Yes amid a 10.7x volume spike and a 44.8% weekly price rise, with one highly profitable bettor showing an exceptional long-term record.

Five wallets committed $7,920 to Yes, including a bettor with an 85% win rate across 1,040 resolved trades and $317,737 in profits.
Trading volume is running 10.7x above its historical average, while Yes has climbed 44.8% over the past week.
Several wallets were adding to existing Yes positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off wager.

$7,920 on Yes

92% win-rate bettor scaling into Yes

A proven 92% win-rate bettor with substantial positive edge is adding $18,000 to an existing Zverev position as the market has risen sharply.

This bettor has won 92% of 49 resolved positions, with a $90,634 profit and average winning entry odds of 52%.
The wallet is adding $18,000 to an existing Yes position, bringing its total investment in Zverev to about $51,000.
The market has gained 34.6% over the past week, supporting the bettor’s bullish direction rather than contradicting it.

$18,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

96% win-rate bettor scaling into Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3.3K to an existing Yes position at 60¢ amid strong upward momentum.

This bettor has won 96% of 49 resolved positions and is up $410,817 overall.
The $3,318 purchase adds to a much larger Yes position, raising total investment to $34,857 as the price climbs 38% in a week.
A second wallet sharing the same funder is also involved, adding some coordinated-flow support.

$3,318 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

93% winner buys Zverev No

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.29M profit is taking a fresh No position at 49¢ in a liquid tennis futures market.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,643 resolved positions and is up $2.29 million.
The fresh $1,000 No position is being taken near the market price, despite the market currently pricing Zverev at roughly 51% to win.
The wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 762 markets, adding substantial track-record support to the position.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner fades Zverev

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.3M profit made a concentrated $5.1K bearish trade against Zverev at 51%, equivalent to buying No at 49¢.

This bettor has won 93% of 795 resolved positions and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They made a concentrated $5,137 trade selling Yes at 51¢, implying a buy on No around 49¢.
The market has surged nearly 30% over the past week, making this a notable contrarian position from a serial cross-market trader.

$5,137 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Four-wallet coordinated No position

Four wallets coordinated a fresh $5.2K No position at 54¢, including two profitable high-volume traders, despite the market's strong recent rally toward Yes.

Four wallets bought No simultaneously for $5,185 at 54¢, signaling concentrated conviction against Zverev winning.
Two participants have strong long-term records: 62% wins with $186K profit and 65% wins with $427K profit.
Yes has risen 18.4% in one day, so this No position is a notable contrarian bet, though the wallets' overall records are mixed.

$7,052 on No

94% win-rate serial trader buys No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and 2,496 resolved positions is buying No at 77¢ in a liquid tennis futures market.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,496 resolved positions and earned over $1.2 million.
The trader is betting $1,587 on No at 77¢, implying Zverev has only about a 23% chance to win.
This wallet has traded 545 markets across 515 events, providing unusually strong evidence beyond a single bet.

$1,587 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 55794910, $2,659,170
0x59f1...a693 — Outcome 10458098, $17,113 (70% win rate)
0xad7f...0988 — Outcome 10458098, $16,602 (75% win rate)
0x8fa9...e31f — Outcome 10458098, $10,002
0x870a...c89a — Outcome 55794910, $7,694 (100% win rate)
0x0344...f4db — Outcome 10458098, $5,812
0x4453...dd3b — Outcome 10458098, $3,355 (72% win rate)
0x1918...06af — Outcome 10458098, $2,988
0x93a0...74de — Outcome 10458098, $2,435 (49% win rate)
0xa826...98fb — Outcome 55794910, $2,413

Related Theses

Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring matchup

Covers 7 related markets

Iran peace deal odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Resolved2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)$44,014 tracked7 signalsSportsATPTennis

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”

62¢

42¢

21¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction