Part of: Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $173,545.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

LLM evaluation failed — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation failed

$2,014 | Wallet win rate: 71%

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

LLM evaluation failed — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation failed

$2,938 | Wallet win rate: 92%

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

LLM evaluation failed — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation failed

$1,480 | Wallet win rate: 65%

6-wallet Baptiste wave

Coordinated buying hit Hailey Baptiste across 6 wallets during a huge volume spike, and this wallet joined by effectively buying Baptiste at 60¢ before the market moved to 74¢.

  • 6 wallets put $18.6k on the same side as volume ran 106.6x above normal
  • This trade effectively bought Hailey Baptiste at 60¢ by selling Sabalenka, and the market is now at 74¢
  • The move helped drive a sharp 23-point swing, showing real conviction rather than routine activity

$3,020 on Hailey Baptiste | Wallet win rate: 65%

Dip buyer after 30-point swing

A bettor bought Aryna Sabalenka at 52¢ right after a sharp market dislocation and is already up versus a 64¢ market in a match with heavy volume and a 30-point swing.

  • Bought Aryna Sabalenka at 52¢ and the market is already at 64¢, a strong early signal on this entry
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike and a 30-point price swing, so this was a clear attempt to buy the panic
  • This is a liquid tennis market with nearly $664k of 24h volume, which makes catching a 12-point rebound more notable

$2,000 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 53%

97% winner in 6-wallet push

A proven sharp sports trader with a 97% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided push that moved Sabalenka up sharply during a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $22.4k across 30 settled bets.
  • Six wallets bought the same side for $22.5k total, and Sabalenka's price jumped 37 points during the move.
  • The trader bought at 78¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they still saw value even after the line had already moved.

$2,700 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 99%

6-wallet Sabalenka surge

A repeat new wallet joined a 6-wallet one-sided surge into Sabalenka at 45¢ before the market ripped to 78%, signaling strong coordinated conviction and excellent entry timing.

  • Six wallets bought the same side for $22.5k total, a strong coordinated bet on Sabalenka
  • This wallet is new but has already been flagged 5 times and put $26.6k to work across bets
  • They bought at 45¢ and the market is now 78%, showing a fast 33-point move in their favor

$2,000 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp cluster bought Sabalenka

A large coordinated group piled into Sabalenka during a violent repricing, including several highly profitable serial traders who bought as low as 26-30¢ before the market moved to 73¢.

  • Eight wallets put $56k behind Sabalenka in minutes, and the price ripped from 27¢ to 73¢.
  • Several bettors in the cluster have strong records, including one with a 91% win rate and $2.1M profit.
  • The biggest buys hit at 26-30¢, implying they saw Sabalenka as badly mispriced before the market reset.

$56,136 on Aryna Sabalenka

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable 91% win-rate trader joined a 6-wallet one-sided surge into Hailey Baptiste during a major volume spike, making this a notable sharp-money signal despite the price reversing after entry.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.05M lifetime across 918 bets.
  • They joined 5 other wallets all buying Hailey Baptiste, with the group putting nearly $25k on the same side.
  • The market saw a 73.5x volume spike and a fast 16-point move, showing real conviction behind the flow.

$3,344 on Hailey Baptiste | Wallet win rate: 92%

6-wallet dogpile on underdog

A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 6-wallet one-sided surge into Hailey Baptiste during a major volume spike, suggesting a thesis worth watching despite the market moving sharply against that entry afterward.

  • Six wallets bought Hailey Baptiste together for nearly $25k, a strong one-way bet cluster.
  • This wallet has 581 resolved bets with a 69% win rate and $57k profit, so the flow comes from an experienced trader.
  • They paid 51¢ while Hailey now trades at 24¢, showing this was an aggressive early position before the market snapped back.

$5,000 on Hailey Baptiste | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x56c9...0d9e Outcome 10884199, $16,303 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x5b6b...ec86 Outcome 10884199, $10,000
  3. 0x7690...74e1 Outcome 10884199, $10,000 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xde19...3c92 Outcome 10884199, $7,517 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 10884199, $5,102 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x9d94...017d Outcome 10884199, $4,382
  7. 0x820a...ca12 Outcome 10884199, $4,371 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x0807...a321 Outcome 10884199, $4,000
  9. 0x4698...d7a5 Outcome 10884199, $3,851 (99% win rate)
  10. 0x4c5b...cc75 Outcome 10884199, $2,638 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

ResolvedMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$173,545 tracked15 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$2,014

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$2,938

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$1,480

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$3,020 on Hailey Baptiste at 60¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$2,000 on Aryna Sabalenka at 52¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$2,700 on Aryna Sabalenka at 78¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$2,000 on Aryna Sabalenka at 45¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$56,136 on Aryna Sabalenka at 27¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$3,344 on Hailey Baptiste at 58¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$5,000 on Hailey Baptiste at 51¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$6,000 on Aryna Sabalenka at 72¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$75,544 on Hailey Baptiste at 64¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$1,294 on Hailey Baptiste at 12¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$8,900 on Aryna Sabalenka at 89¢

Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

14d ago

$1,174 on Aryna Sabalenka at 89¢

Related Theses