Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,334.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet joins 3-buyer cluster

Three wallets piled into Yes during a sharp move higher, led by one bettor with a strong 76% win rate and +$166k P&L, making this coordinated momentum flow worth following.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 76% of their bets and is up $166k across 45 resolved markets
  • Three wallets all bought the same side for $8.5k as the market jumped 36% in a day and 41% in a week
  • They entered around 41-52¢ while Yes now trades near 45¢, showing a shared bullish view despite already heavy volume

$8,512 on Yes

Sharp bettor buying Yes

A proven sharp wallet with a strong edge bought into a fast-rising Elon tweet-count market at 41¢, making this a credible signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
  • They usually win at low prices around 36¢, so buying Yes at 41¢ suggests they still see value after the recent move
  • The market is active and up 31% in a day, which supports the idea that informed money is moving in this direction

$3,339 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 23%

Sharp bettor buying Yes

A proven profitable bettor with a strong edge bought Yes at 34¢ on a fast-moving market, making this a reasonable sharp-flow signal despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved bets
  • They bought at 34¢, a low price that fits a wallet whose average winning entry is 36¢
  • The market has been moving fast, up 17 points in a day and 30 points in a week

$1,377 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 23%

Sharp bettor buying Yes

A profitable sharp wallet with a strong edge bought Yes at 29¢ on a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market, making this a reasonable copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved markets
  • They bought Yes at 29¢, a price that suggests they see the true odds as meaningfully higher
  • The market is active and already up 11 points in 1 day, so their buy lines up with recent momentum

$1,577 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 23%

Sharp cluster buying YES

Three wallets piled into the same YES side on this tweet-count market, led by one wallet with a strong 76% win rate and +$167k P&L, while the market has already been moving up sharply.

  • A bettor who wins 76% of their trades and is up $167k led this move into YES around 20-24¢.
  • Three wallets all bought the same side within minutes, totaling $4.2k across this market.
  • The market is already moving their way, up 11 points in a day and nearly 20 points over the week.

$4,237 on Yes

Sharp bettor buying longshot

A proven profitable bettor with a strong edge is buying a 20¢ longshot in a liquid market, making this a credible sharp-conviction signal despite only one trigger.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up about $167k across 45 resolved positions
  • They bought Yes at 20¢, a price that suggests they see this outcome as meaningfully underpriced
  • The market is active and trending up, with this outcome up 6.6 points in a day and 16.1 points in a week

$1,291 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 23%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10117739, $376,049
  2. 0xacbc...7cc3 Outcome 10651156, $116,778 (23% win rate)
  3. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 10651156, $23,722
  4. 0x0f7f...6450 Outcome 10651156, $12,643 (19% win rate)
  5. 0xde9b...44fd Outcome 10651156, $7,000
  6. 0x4449...e977 Outcome 10651156, $6,692
  7. 0xb06a...52f5 Outcome 10651156, $5,148
  8. 0x0888...e6e3 Outcome 10651156, $5,000
  9. 0xaa01...f1df Outcome 10651156, $4,034
  10. 0xcade...db51 Outcome 10651156, $4,004

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

WTI stays rangebound in May

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran keeps airspace open

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets April 14 - April 21, 2026?$20,334 tracked6 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$8,512 on Yes at 48¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$3,339 on Yes at 41¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$1,377 on Yes at 34¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$1,577 on Yes at 29¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$4,237 on Yes at 22¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

23d ago

$1,291 on Yes at 20¢

Related Theses