Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $176,931.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record sold Spirit at 80¢, which converts to buying MOUZ at 20¢ in a liquid esports market after a sharp move.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 862 resolved trades and is up $189k lifetime.
  • They trade across many related markets — 300 markets over 210 events — which suggests a repeatable event-level edge.
  • Selling Spirit at 80¢ is equivalent to buying MOUZ at 20¢ after Spirit already jumped 22 points in a day.

$1,494 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 66%

84% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.46M in profit bought MOUZ into a major pre-match volume surge, making this underdog entry worth tracking despite the modest size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 912 resolved trades and is up $1.46M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across 255 events and bought the underdog at 21¢, implying a strong disagreement with the market
  • This came during a 17.6x pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed interest around this match

$1,517 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 84%

79% winner fading favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate is fading the favorite here, and the sell converts into a buy on MOUZ at a cheap implied price.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 311 markets and has traded over $1.2M total
  • They sold Spirit at 79¢, which is equivalent to buying MOUZ around 21¢
  • The bet is meaningful at $8.7k, even in a liquid market with strong recent price momentum

$8,685 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 80%

79% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Spirit at 75¢ in a liquid esports market and is already in the money.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 311 bets and has traded over $1.2M across 179 events
  • They bought Spirit at 75¢ and the market is already up to 78¢, showing immediate follow-through
  • This is a fresh $6.8k position from a proven cross-market trader, not routine noise

$6,765 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.66M profit is taking MOUZ at 41¢, a clear copy-trade signal despite the modest size on a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,151 resolved trades and is up $1.66M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across markets with 551 positions over 450 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought MOUZ at 41¢, a price that offers strong upside if their read is right

$1,126 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%

9-wallet sharp cluster

Nine wallets piled nearly $44k into Spirit in minutes, and several of them have unusually strong historical records, making this coordinated esports buy worth surfacing.

  • Nine wallets bought Spirit within minutes for $43.8k total, a strong one-sided push on the same outcome.
  • Several of the wallets have elite records, including bettors winning 90% and 91% of resolved trades.
  • They entered around 60-67¢ and the market quickly moved to 74¢, confirming strong momentum behind the bet.

$43,818 on Spirit

98% win-rate sports bettor

A sports bettor with an extraordinary 98% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 61¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades (64 of 65) and is up $62k on $128k invested
  • They have placed 77 bets across 70 events with the same elite hit rate, which points to repeatable skill rather than a lucky streak
  • Bought Spirit at 61¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they still saw value even after a volume surge

$1,484 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp cluster buying MOUZ

Three wallets piled into MOUZ for $11.4k, including a high-volume bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.46M profit, making this coordinated underdog action worth watching despite the market’s deep liquidity.

  • Three wallets all bet MOUZ at about 20-21¢, including a bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.46M profit.
  • One wallet sold Spirit at 79¢, which is the same view as buying MOUZ at 21¢, so the whole cluster is lined up on the underdog.
  • This is a coordinated $11.4k position against an 80% favorite, suggesting they think MOUZ is mispriced at roughly a 5x payout.

$11,432 on MOUZ

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with 862 resolved bets and $189k profit bought Spirit during a strong pre-match volume surge, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal despite only moderate composite strength.

  • This bettor has 862 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $189k lifetime.
  • They bought $9.0k of Spirit at 61¢ during a 20.7x pre-match volume spike.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random punt.

$9,043 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 66%

90% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 90% win rate and strong edge is taking MOUZ at 40¢, making this a worthwhile follow despite the otherwise routine market conditions.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up about $233k overall
  • They bought MOUZ at 40¢, a price that suggests they see the team as clearly undervalued
  • The bet is modest versus market depth, so the main signal here is the bettor’s track record rather than market impact

$2,435 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 46826523, $29,000 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 46826523, $24,550 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x3993...cded Outcome 46826523, $20,222 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 46826523, $18,512 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x76dc...a9be Outcome 46826523, $14,600 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x5213...6a35 Outcome 46826523, $8,102 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xf988...d63b Outcome 46826523, $7,912 (84% win rate)
  8. 0xf917...bde0 Outcome 46826523, $6,429 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x6277...5a3f Outcome 46826523, $6,315 (80% win rate)
  10. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 46826523, $5,806 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs$176,931 tracked21 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$1,494 on MOUZ at 20¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$1,517 on MOUZ at 21¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$8,685 on MOUZ at 21¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$6,765 on Spirit at 75¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$1,126 on MOUZ at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$43,818 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$1,484 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$11,432 on MOUZ at 21¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$9,043 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$2,435 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$982 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$19,766 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$6,029 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$2,322 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$9,820 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$1,964 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$982 on MOUZ at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$23,510 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

25d ago

$20,996 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

26d ago

$1,235 on MOUZ at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

26d ago

$1,527 on MOUZ at 42¢

Related Theses