Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

25 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,120.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor joins cluster

High composite alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market trader joining coordinated Natus Vincere buying, though the price has moved sharply against the entry since execution.

  • This bettor has traded 342 related markets across 238 events and is up about $102K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way, totaling about $5.4K in coordinated underdog flow.
  • The entry at 39¢ was a contrarian bet, but the market has since fallen to about 22¢.

$1,139 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%

79% winner on Aurora

Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% resolved win rate bought Aurora, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved positions and is up $65,853 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with the same strong hit rate.
  • Aurora is now around 48¢ after their 69¢ entry, offering a much cheaper price than they paid.

$1,700 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp esports cluster

Strong Aurora-side cluster led by several highly profitable bettors with 79–92% win rates, coordinated cross-market activity, and a sharp move from roughly mid-market to 98%.

  • Several proven bettors backed Aurora, including wallets winning 91% and 92% of resolved trades with over $265K combined profit.
  • Six wallets put nearly $20K on the same side, with Aurora moving from an average entry near 63¢ to 98¢.
  • This market saw a 33x volume spike and multiple serial cross-market traders converging on the same outcome.

$19,752 on Aurora

92% winner backs underdog

A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided flow, despite the market moving sharply against that outcome.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $192K lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 43¢, taking the underdog side before the market fell to 28¢.
  • Four wallets have bought the same side for $11.7K during a major volume spike.

$1,050 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 92%

95% winner backs underdog

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $157,874 lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 24¢, below the current 28¢ price, implying a strong underdog read.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $11,701 during a 61x pre-event volume spike.

$2,950 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial bettor

High-score alert combining a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, 4-wallet same-side flow, and a 61x volume spike, though the entry is now well underwater.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 997 resolved bets and is up about $932k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 340 events with over $2.5M in tracked volume.
  • Four wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way for $11.7k during a 61x volume spike.

$1,391 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 71%

98% winner backs Aurora

Elite 98% winner with $4.05M profit bought Aurora, aligned with a 9-wallet one-sided push and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $4.05M lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
  • Nine wallets have backed the same side for $42.6K amid a 53.6x volume spike.

$3,776 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable esports cluster

Three experienced, profitable esports traders clustered into Natus Vincere, including a 75% winner up $171k lifetime and multiple serial cross-market bettors.

  • Three profitable high-volume bettors bought Natus Vincere within two minutes.
  • The strongest wallet wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $171k lifetime.
  • This is coordinated underdog buying around 40¢, suggesting they see value versus the current 38% market price.

$5,437 on Natus Vincere

Sharp bettor joins Aurora cluster

Sharp profitable esports bettor bought Aurora alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $104,807 lifetime.
  • Nine wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $42,618 of one-sided flow.
  • Aurora has already moved from their 55¢ entry to 62¢, with a 54x pre-event volume spike behind the move.

$1,100 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable esports flow on Aurora

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora alongside strong one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, with price already moving from 55% to 62%.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 61% wins across 2,025 resolved bets and +$417K lifetime profit.
  • Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling $42.6K on Aurora.
  • The market saw a 53.6x pre-event volume spike, and Aurora has already moved from this entry at 55¢ to 62¢.

$3,438 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 57628614, $64,685 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x3936...366d Outcome 57628614, $36,046 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x03f8...d85a Outcome 57628614, $30,882 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x8479...40df Outcome 57628614, $26,308 (97% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 57628614, $25,174 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 57628614, $11,775 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x9770...0ff5 Outcome 57628614, $11,750 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xefa1...5aa4 Outcome 57628614, $10,000
  9. 0x507e...beae Outcome 57628614, $6,718 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x5cef...112e Outcome 57628614, $6,000

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$97,120 tracked25 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
55¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,139 on Natus Vincere at 39¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,700 on Aurora at 69¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$19,752 on Aurora at 63¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,050 on Natus Vincere at 43¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$2,950 on Natus Vincere at 24¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,391 on Natus Vincere at 44¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$3,776 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$5,437 on Natus Vincere at 40¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,100 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$3,438 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,375 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$5,000 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,465 on Natus Vincere at 73¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 32¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$4,533 on Aurora at 35¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$3,665 on Natus Vincere at 69¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$3,878 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$2,500 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,472 on Aurora at 52¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$20,000 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,000 on Natus Vincere at 49¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 50¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

1d ago

$4,000 on Natus Vincere at 49¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

2d ago

$2,000 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Related Theses