Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

This Polymarket market covers the best-of-three League of Legends match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in LPL Group Nirvana. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected on May 16, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,078 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,442.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

8-wallet funded cluster

Eight linked wallets funded by the same address have been repeatedly detected, and this one is buying EDward Gaming at 64¢ despite only modest individual edge.

  • 8 linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting one coordinated bettor is deploying capital across accounts.
  • This wallet has a huge betting history with 1,384 resolved trades and is up $13,267 lifetime.
  • The buy is on EDward Gaming at 64¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,078 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 50%

92% winning esports sharp

Proven sharp esports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong cross-market record bought ThunderTalk at 37¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $70,208 lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market track record across 33 events, with $91,844 traded and a 92% win rate.
  • Buying ThunderTalk at 37¢ suggests they see meaningful upside versus the current underdog price.

$1,283 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial esports cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying EDward Gaming at 63¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 559 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $114.6K in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded across 37 related events, suggesting a repeatable esports betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • A $3.1K buy at 63¢ backs EDward Gaming as the favorite while current market odds sit around 64¢.

$3,058 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

Proven esports sharp

Despite the weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has a large resolved history, 76% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets across 1,014 markets and is up $74.6K lifetime.
  • They are buying EDward Gaming at 63¢, slightly above the current 62% market price.
  • The signal itself is weak, but the wallet’s long profitable track record makes the trade worth following.

$1,022 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven esports sharp

Sharp profitable esports bettor with an 80% win rate and $135k lifetime profit bought ThunderTalk at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $135,620 lifetime.
  • They have a large 401-position track record, beating average odds of 48% by a wide margin.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see ThunderTalk as a strong underdog value spot.

$1,000 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x74a8...df59 ThunderTalk Gaming, $16,267 (46% win rate)
  2. 0xda3a...381f EDward Gaming, $6,681 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x8e8c...65dd EDward Gaming, $5,146 (48% win rate)
  4. 0xa7df...5eee EDward Gaming, $5,000 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x4b59...3aa6 EDward Gaming, $4,854 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x1065...6218 ThunderTalk Gaming, $3,468 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x5d5a...4289 EDward Gaming, $3,121 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x6277...5a3f ThunderTalk Gaming, $2,819 (80% win rate)
  9. 0x88db...54a4 ThunderTalk Gaming, $2,620 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x14d4...c4bf ThunderTalk Gaming, $2,620 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

ThunderTalk beats EDward Gaming

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Atlético Madrid will not win

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BetBoom beats B8 in series

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EDward Gaming wins series

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Weibo wins against Ninjas

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KT Rolster wins Game 1

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Oviedo Getafe score twice

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Köln-Heidenheim stays low scoring

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LGD Gaming beats LNG

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Barcelona fails to win

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

4hLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$7,442 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
ThunderTalk Gaming
37¢
EDward Gaming
64¢

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “EDward Gaming
65¢
57¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

1d ago

$1,078 on EDward Gaming at 64¢

64¢64¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

1d ago

$1,283 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 37¢

37¢37¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

1d ago

$3,058 on EDward Gaming at 63¢

63¢64¢1¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

1d ago

$1,022 on EDward Gaming at 63¢

63¢64¢1¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

3d ago

$1,000 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 40¢

40¢37¢3¢

Related Theses