LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
45 signals across 4 markets · $217,169 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming is an LPL Group Nirvana best-of-three League of Legends match with prediction-market odds on which team wins. PolySpotter is tracking smart-money activity across the event, including a recent signal from a proven esports sharp, to help users understand how informed traders are positioning before resolution.

Markets (4)
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana30 signals · $115,767 tracked
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner9 signals · $53,155 tracked
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner4 signals · $43,142 tracked
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?2 signals · $5,105 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 12-wallet EDG momentum cluster
A large 12-wallet EDward Gaming buy cluster hit during a 57x volume spike, including several profitable high-volume esports-style traders and a move from ~67¢ to 78¢.
$39,462Score: 23.2 - $6M sharp leads cluster
A highly profitable 87% winner led a $28k six-wallet EDward Gaming buy cluster during a 44x pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite some opposing flow.
$28,185Score: 18.7 - 8-wallet esports cluster
High-scoring esports alert with 8 wallets buying ThunderTalk during a major pre-event volume spike, though opposing EDward flow makes it a contested signal.
$22,907Score: 18.3 - Profitable esports regular joins cluster
High-scoring ThunderTalk cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a highly profitable serial cross-market trader, one-sided flow, a 58x volume spike, and major price movement.
$4,240Score: 17.9 - 92% winner buying with flow
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong profit is buying EDward Gaming amid a large pre-event volume spike and one-sided flow.
$3,236Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 16.5 - 89% esports sharp buying underdog
Sharp 89% win-rate serial cross-market trader is effectively buying ThunderTalk at 36¢ despite EDward being favored.
$1,524Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 15.6 - 92% esports sharp buying underdog
Sharp profitable serial cross-market wallet joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$1,394Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 15.6 - 98% winner joins EDG cluster
Elite 98% lifetime winner bought EDward Gaming in a coordinated one-sided move with a major pre-event volume spike.
$4,178Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 15.5 - Profitable serial bettor buying dog
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% long-run record joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying amid a major volume spike, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
$1,158Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 14.6 - Elite 87% bettor backs EDG
Elite esports bettor with an 87% long-term win rate and $6.1M profit bought EDward Gaming, alongside one-sided flow from 4 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
$11,242Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 13.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x13414a…0853$45,169 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xd2f359…37f9$8,725 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x9770ca…0ff5$4,778 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x76cf02…9452$4,630 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x21d078…42b1$4,575 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$4,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xc44f43…d49f$4,099 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xcae693…4f85$3,123 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 66% wins
- 0x87256d…eb10$3,105 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x4b59e1…3aa6$3,058 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the BO3 match winner between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming. The market price reflects the crowd-implied probability of each team winning the match and can move as bettors react to lineups, form, news, and smart-money trades.
Who is smart money betting on in ThunderTalk vs EDward Gaming?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,000 in smart money across this event, including one recent esports-focused sharp signal. Check the live event page for the current side, entry timing, and whether other sharp wallets follow or fade that position.
Why does a “proven esports sharp” signal matter?
A proven esports sharp is a wallet or trader with a history of profitable or notable activity in esports prediction markets. Their activity does not guarantee the outcome, but it can be useful context when evaluating whether the market price may be underreacting or overreacting.
When does the ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the LPL Group Nirvana match winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s stated resolution rules, settlement may follow Polymarket’s cancellation or delay criteria.
Is this page for one market or the full event?
This hub covers the ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming event as a whole. In this case, the event contains one child market focused on the match winner, with outcomes tied to whether ThunderTalk Gaming or EDward Gaming wins the BO3.