Part of: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,669.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Trump, Aliens

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market UFO buyer

Sharp wallet with a 76% resolved-bet win record and +$50k P&L bought $9.2k of Yes while also positioning across related markets.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up about $50k lifetime.
  • They bought $9.2k of Yes and are also trading across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • The average entry was about 50¢, while the market is now near 28¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp buyer paid.

$9,228 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

New repeat bettor buys NO

A nearly new repeat bettor is making a $3.4k bearish bet on a thin, wide-spread market, effectively buying No around 34¢ with prior flagged activity totaling $12.2k.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with $12.2k in notable bets across 3 positions.
  • The trade is a clear bearish view, equivalent to buying No around 34¢ while the market now shows No near 42¢.
  • The market is thin, with only $2.8k liquidity and a 15¢ spread, so a $3.4k position shows real conviction.

$3,441 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6395...305d Outcome 11110638, $11,197
  2. 0x5971...ac63 Outcome 11110638, $2,939
  3. 0x215a...254c Outcome 11110638, $1,956
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 11110638, $1,825
  5. 0x2843...0ac5 Outcome 11110638, $1,594 (84% win rate)
  6. 0x54a7...881b Outcome 11110638, $1,544 (94% win rate)
  7. 0xa3a6...ac15 Outcome 11110638, $1,500
  8. 0x999f...addb Outcome 11110638, $1,339 (69% win rate)
  9. 0xd440...166e Outcome 11110638, $1,318
  10. 0x2a8c...a1bf Outcome 11110638, $1,220 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Trump will declassify UFO files

Covers 3 related markets

Trump releases UFO files late June

Covers 3 related markets

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

ResolvedTrump declassifies new UFO files by...?$12,669 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTrumpAliens

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

38d ago

$9,228 on Yes at 50¢

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

45d ago

$3,441 on No at 34¢

Related Theses