Part of: Monaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
This prediction market asks whether Kimi Antonelli will win the 2026 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for June 7, 2026. It resolves based on the FIA Final Classification, with the market resolving to “Other” if the race is canceled or moved after June 14, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,500 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent NO-side buying from profitable F1 bettors.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,965.
Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games
Notable Trades
Major odds breakout
A meaningful price breakout and heavy 24h volume make this worth watching despite the wallet having no proven edge.
- Yes has surged from about 18¢ to 61¢, a major move ahead of the Monaco GP window.
- The market traded $54K in the last 24 hours, suggesting broader momentum beyond this single $1.5K buy.
- This wallet is not a proven sharp bettor, so the signal is mainly the market move rather than the trader.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 36%
Profitable new F1 bettor
A 17-day-old wallet with repeated flagged bets and early profits is buying Antonelli Monaco Yes in a relatively quiet long-dated F1 market.
- This new wallet is already up $9.2K after only 17 days of trading.
- It has won all 4 resolved bets so far and has been flagged 9 times for larger conviction bets.
- The 18¢ entry is a long-shot position, suggesting they see meaningful upside versus current odds.
$1,456 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
79% winner buying NO
Weak market signal, but the wallet has a long profitable record and is adding $3.4k to No at 80¢, making the bettor the main reason to surface it.
- This bettor has won 79% of 808 resolved bets and is up about $8.3k lifetime.
- They put $3.4k on No at 80¢, a meaningful size in a market with about $9k liquidity.
- The bet pays about 25% if Antonelli does not win Monaco in 2026.
$3,403 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
79% winner buying NO
A proven profitable wallet with a 79% record is buying $5.7k of No on a relatively quiet long-dated F1 market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor has won 79% of 808 resolved trades and is up $8.3k lifetime.
- They bought $5.7k of No in five quick trades at 80¢, showing concentrated conviction.
- The market is still relatively small, with only $14k total volume and $9.2k liquidity.
$5,711 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable F1 No bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is repeatedly buying No in a thin long-dated F1 market, with size large relative to recent volume.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $8.3K lifetime across 808 bets.
- They put $4.6K into No across four back-to-back buys, a large move for this quiet market.
- Entry at 80¢ implies they are betting Kimi Antonelli is still meaningfully overpriced to win Monaco.
$4,586 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Proven winner buying NO
A high-volume wallet with a 79% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No in a thin long-dated F1 market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $8.3k lifetime.
- The $2.3k buy was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 80¢ means the bettor is backing Antonelli not to win Monaco at roughly 1.25x payout.
$2,308 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $33,934
- 0xf68a...5b1b — No, $18,021 (51% win rate)
- 0x5452...d448 — Yes, $14,523 (67% win rate)
- 0x168a...da29 — No, $11,273 (79% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Yes, $10,100 (78% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Yes, $9,184 (86% win rate)
- 0x1821...968b — Yes, $6,871 (100% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Yes, $4,720 (87% win rate)
- 0xf802...d91d — Yes, $2,815 (81% win rate)
- 0xe9a9...cd74 — No, $2,627
