Part of: Monaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,994.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought Yes after a major price surge, suggesting they may be following a timely F1 thesis.

This bettor has a large track record: 1,239 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $169K profit.
They have traded across 33 events, showing a repeat pattern of event-based positioning rather than a one-off bet.
The market moved sharply toward Yes, up 47.5 points in 24 hours, and this buy came at 81¢.

$3,234 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% record and $303k lifetime profit bought Yes as the market surged on heavy volume.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $303k lifetime.
They have traded across 99 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
The market is up 57 points today with $242k in 24h volume, supporting the same direction.

$1,320 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Elite cross-market bettor buying YES

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate bought $10.7k of Yes amid a major volume and price surge.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $392k lifetime.
They have traded across 337 events with $5.5M total volume, suggesting a proven broad-market edge.
The market has surged 60 points in 24h with a 59x volume spike, and this wallet is still buying Yes at 89¢.

$10,717 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Event-day momentum buyer

Event-day volume and price action are strong: Yes jumped sharply on a 95x volume spike, with a profitable high-volume wallet buying at 83¢.

Yes volume spiked 95x versus normal as the price jumped 58 points in one day.
This high-volume bettor is up $95,718 lifetime across more than 5,800 resolved bets.
Entry at 83¢ has already moved to 88¢, suggesting the market is converging toward Yes.

$2,490 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

80% winner buying momentum

Surface because a highly profitable 80% lifetime winner made a ~$9.9k Yes bet during a major volume spike on a market moving sharply upward.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $392k lifetime.
They have traded across 337 events with $5.5M in volume, suggesting a seasoned cross-market bettor.
Market volume spiked 97x and Yes is up 53 points in 24 hours, matching the bettor’s direction.

$9,892 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

80% winner driving odds spike

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit made a $9k Yes buy amid a major volume spike and 32-point price move.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $392k lifetime.
They have traded across 627 markets with $5.47M total volume, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
The market saw a 40.9x volume spike and a 32-point Yes price jump around this trade.

$8,983 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

79% winner chasing breakout

A highly active 79% lifetime winner bought Antonelli Yes into a major volume spike and 32-point price move on race day.

This bettor has won 79% of 859 resolved markets across 383 events.
Yes has surged 55 points in 24 hours alongside a 41x volume spike.
They bought $6k at 88¢, suggesting confidence even after the big move.

$6,012 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 56¢ before a sharp move to 72¢ on a high-volume F1 market.

This bettor is up $83k lifetime across 479 resolved trades.
They have traded across 78 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
Their 56¢ entry has already moved to 72¢ after a 42-point one-day price surge.

$2,016 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

87% winner flips to Yes

Surfacing because a highly profitable 87% lifetime bettor with broad cross-market history is buying Yes after the market moved sharply upward.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $334k lifetime.
They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
The market is already moving hard, with Yes up 27.5 points in the last day.

$1,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable new wallet fades spike

A 20-day-old repeat large bettor with a perfect early record and $13.6k profit is effectively taking the No side after a major Yes price spike.

This new bettor is 6-for-6 so far and up $13.6k on $27.3k invested.
They have now triggered 12 large-bet alerts, totaling $24.4k in flagged trades.
This trade fades a sharp move higher, effectively buying No at 42¢ after Yes jumped 50 points in a day.

$3,345 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%