Part of: Montreux: Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany
Montreux: Clara Burel vs Guiomar Maristany
The Montreux prediction market covers the tennis match between Clara Burel and Guiomar Maristany, scheduled for September 11, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; smart money activity currently includes a 46¢ purchase on Burel and multiple signals backing Maristany, with $4,738 tracked overall. The market is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026, subject to its stated settlement rules.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,373.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial tennis bettor buying Maristany
A highly experienced serial trader with 109,000 resolved bets bought Guiomar Maristany as the market moved sharply upward, though the historical edge is modest.
- This bettor has won 71% of more than 109,000 resolved bets and is up $869,000 overall.
- They bought $1,165 of Guiomar Maristany at 52¢ as the price rose 10 percentage points in 76 seconds.
- The position is still near entry at 54¢, leaving room to follow despite the trader’s modest historical edge over average winning prices.
$4,738 on Guiomar Maristany | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp bettor backs Maristany underdog
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Guiomar Maristany at 31%.
- This bettor has won 154 of 205 resolved positions, with $441,772 in reported profit.
- They are buying Guiomar Maristany at 31%, despite the market pricing her around 30%.
- The wallet has traded 153 markets across 134 events, showing a broad and repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.
$2,175 on Guiomar Maristany | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% winner bought Clara at 46¢
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge bought Clara Burel at 46%, well below the current 60% market price.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,640 resolved positions and is up $2.28 million.
- They bought Clara Burel at 46¢, while the market now prices her at 60%.
- The wallet has traded across 647 events, providing unusually strong evidence that this is informed positioning rather than a one-off bet.
$1,200 on Clara Burel | Wallet win rate: 93%
Large bettor ahead of sharp repricing
A meaningful $1,096 buy preceded a sharp price repricing in Clara Burel’s favor, though the wallet’s large historical profit is not supported by an unusually high win rate.
- The wallet bought Clara Burel at 41¢, and the market has since moved to about 51¢.
- Clara Burel experienced a 32.6 percentage-point price dislocation beyond its prior observed range.
- This bettor has earned $3.69M across 44,717 resolved bets, although its 55% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
$1,096 on Clara Burel | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial tennis bettor buying Maristany
A highly experienced serial trader with 109,000 resolved bets bought Guiomar Maristany as the market moved sharply upward, though the historical edge is modest.
- This bettor has won 71% of more than 109,000 resolved bets and is up $869,000 overall.
- They bought $1,165 of Guiomar Maristany at 52¢ as the price rose 10 percentage points in 76 seconds.
- The position is still near entry at 54¢, leaving room to follow despite the trader’s modest historical edge over average winning prices.
$1,165 on Guiomar Maristany | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x75f2...ff6d — Outcome 74659594, $13,158 (57% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 74659594, $4,590 (87% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 74659594, $2,609 (93% win rate)
- 0x4da5...d7b9 — Outcome 74659594, $2,031
- 0xdf42...ad7f — Outcome 74659594, $2,023
- 0xa283...61e5 — Outcome 74659594, $1,944 (77% win rate)
- 0xcfb2...126a — Outcome 74659594, $1,841 (66% win rate)
- 0x5965...935f — Outcome 74659594, $1,651 (65% win rate)
- 0x8d0c...c90a — Outcome 74659594, $1,200
- 0x762d...45a6 — Outcome 74659594, $821 (49% win rate)
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