Part of: Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by June 30?
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether Anduril’s private-market valuation will reach at least $80 billion by June 30, 2026, based on the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market. The market resolves after the period ends, with PolySpotter tracking $1,336 in smart-money activity and one recent signal showing quiet-market NO conviction.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,336.
Categories: Finance, Privates, Palmer Luckey, Tech, Big Tech, defense, Anduril
Notable Trades
Quiet-market NO conviction
A single wallet made a market-moving No buy that was over 14x recent volume in a very thin Anduril valuation market, though the wallet's track record is not especially sharp.
- This $1.3K No buy was over 14x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- The order hit a very thin book with only $727 liquidity and helped move No from 48¢ to 64¢.
- The wallet is profitable lifetime, up about $22.7K, though its resolved win rate is only 47%.
$1,336 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%
Top Holders
- 0x9e88...301c — Outcome 21754337, $322 (47% win rate)
- 0x582a...7bb2 — Outcome 21754337, $120
- 0x1e98...6345 — Outcome 21754337, $100
- 0xec82...6eaa — Outcome 21754337, $100
- 0x6f8b...56ed — Outcome 21754337, $64
- 0x52fd...2ab7 — Outcome 21754337, $62
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 21754337, $50
- 0x4916...f56f — Outcome 21754337, $40
- 0x4cf3...6904 — Outcome 21754337, $30
- 0xe5c2...94e1 — Outcome 21754337, $30
Related Theses
Stripe hits $160B, misses $165B
Covers 3 related markets
