Part of: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Extended’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $150 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable for launch to count. PolySpotter is tracking $5,390 in smart money activity, including recent No-side buying and a Yes-wallet cluster.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,327.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Extended, FDV, fdv
Notable Trades
5-day wallet buying No
A 5-day-old wallet built a $5.4k No position on a niche crypto FDV market, with size meaningful relative to recent volume but no proven track record yet.
- A brand-new wallet put $5.4k on No across three buys, a large position for this quieter market.
- This is a niche token-launch FDV market, where crypto traders may have informational edge.
- No is now near 41¢ versus the wallet’s roughly 51¢ average entry, so the market is offering a cheaper follow-on price.
$5,390 on No
New wallet NO thesis
A 5-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable NO bets across the Extended launch FDV markets, suggesting a fresh but unproven thesis.
- A brand-new wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with $5.4K in notable bets.
- The bettor is taking a cross-market view on the same Extended launch event, with $4.4K positioned across 2 markets.
- This NO entry at 46¢ has moved against them to about 36¢, so the thesis is unproven but now cheaper to follow.
$2,590 on No
3-wallet Yes cluster
Three wallets put $11.3k into Yes in a short burst during a major volume spike, creating a coordinated directional signal on a crypto launch market where informed positioning is plausible.
- Three wallets piled into Yes for $11.3k within minutes, a clear one-sided push on the same outcome.
- Market volume was 168x normal during this burst, and price has been trending up to 62¢.
- One wallet exited an old No position, which is effectively another bullish switch into Yes at 63¢.
$11,347 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xab82...abe5 — Yes, $42,011 (47% win rate)
- 0xc9e2...0475 — No, $14,905
- 0xc7e4...f5b8 — No, $12,474
- 0x02c5...8356 — Yes, $9,984
- 0x3b63...27a7 — No, $7,201 (79% win rate)
- 0xc1fd...948e — No, $6,762
- 0x23f4...c234 — No, $6,095 (51% win rate)
- 0x8d0b...cc94 — No, $5,960 (100% win rate)
- 0xebd3...446d — No, $5,955 (100% win rate)
- 0xc091...e7d0 — No, $5,880
Related Theses
Extended FDV stays below $150M
Covers 2 related markets
