Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
15 signals across 4 markets · $95,816 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks whether Extended’s token fully diluted valuation will be above $150 million one day after launch. PolySpotter is monitoring the Polymarket odds, including an early smart-money signal showing a 3-wallet cluster taking the Yes side.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp linked wallet buys Yes
Proven profitable wallet with a 79% track record sold No, effectively buying Yes, alongside linked-wallet and cross-market signals on a crypto launch FDV market.
$5,069Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 14.6 - Sharp funded-cluster FDV bettor
Surface: a profitable 80% wallet with linked-wallet backing is buying No in size on a relatively quiet crypto FDV market.
$7,781Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 13.6 - Sharp linked-wallet No bet
Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved win rate is buying No heavily, alongside linked-wallet clustering and cross-market positioning on a relatively quiet crypto FDV market.
$8,812Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 13.6 - Sharp funded-cluster FDV bettor
Surface: a profitable 80% wallet with linked-wallet backing is buying No in size on a relatively quiet crypto FDV market.
$5,936Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 13.6 - Sharp linked-wallet No bet
Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved win rate is buying No heavily, alongside linked-wallet clustering and cross-market positioning on a relatively quiet crypto FDV market.
$6,736Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 12.6 - Profitable linked-wallet bettor
Surface because a profitable 80% win-rate wallet is adding a No position with linked-wallet and cross-market corroboration despite the modest trade size.
$1,031Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 12.6 - New wallet NO thesis
A 5-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable NO bets across the Extended launch FDV markets, suggesting a fresh but unproven thesis.
$2,590Score: 7.5 - 5-day wallet buying No
A 5-day-old wallet built a $5.4k No position on a niche crypto FDV market, with size meaningful relative to recent volume but no proven track record yet.
$5,390Score: 7.0 - 3-wallet Yes cluster
Three wallets put $11.3k into Yes in a short burst during a major volume spike, creating a coordinated directional signal on a crypto launch market where informed positioning is plausible.
$11,347Score: 6.8 - New wallet betting No
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $2.8K No position on a quiet crypto launch FDV market, with size well above recent 24h volume but no proven track record yet.
$2,800Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16351b…5624$35,365 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 41% wins
- 0x7e3471…4cc1$29,000 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0xc7e464…f5b8$10,780 · 2 markets · 3 alerts
- 0xc091e5…e7d0$6,418 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x756ea9…a50a$2,906 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What is the Extended FDV above $150M prediction market?
This Polymarket event asks whether Extended’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $150 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. If the FDV is higher than $150M at that time, the market resolves Yes; otherwise, it resolves No.
How are the odds for Extended FDV above $150M determined?
The odds come from traders buying and selling Yes and No shares on Polymarket. They reflect the market’s current implied probability that Extended’s token FDV will exceed $150 million one day after launch.
What is smart money doing on the Extended FDV market?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,347 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal showing a 3-wallet cluster on the Yes side. That suggests multiple tracked wallets are positioning for Extended’s FDV to clear the $150M threshold.
When does the Extended FDV market resolve?
The event resolves based on Extended’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token’s launch. The broader Polymarket event is listed with a resolution deadline of January 1, 2027, but the actual timing depends on when the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable.
How is Extended’s FDV calculated for this market?
FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count under the market rules.