Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
This Polymarket asks whether Liverpool will reach the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. It resolves Yes if Liverpool advances to the semifinal, and No if the club is eliminated before then or if the semifinal matchup is not declared by the stated deadline in May 2026. Traders use this market to track Liverpool prediction market odds and sentiment ahead of the knockout stages.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,414.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, Champions League, UCL
Notable Trades
87% win-rate event specialist
An 87% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is extending the same Champions League thesis here, buying Liverpool No after a sharp weekly drop in Yes odds.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 408 bets and has traded 336 markets in 312 events.
- They have put $24.2k across 5 markets in this same event, suggesting a broad tournament view rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 88¢ with Liverpool Yes down 24.5 points on the week, reinforcing a strong bearish read on Liverpool's semifinal chances.
$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
87% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate made a large, fresh buy on Liverpool No, adding notable conviction in a market that has already moved sharply against Yes.
- This wallet wins 87% of resolved bets across 406 markets and trades heavily across related events.
- They bought No at 87¢ for $6.3k after Liverpool’s Yes side fell 24 points over the last week.
- This single order was bigger than the market’s prior 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction rather than routine flow.
$6,272 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new wallet buying dip
A very new wallet with early profits and repeated large bets opened fresh Liverpool exposure by effectively buying Yes at 16¢ in a moderately thin market after a sharp 1-week drop.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 3 times, shows $2.2k profit, and has 7 open positions despite being very recent
- The trade was effectively a buy of Liverpool Yes at 16¢ after the market fell 24% in a week
- A $1.7k bet is about one-third of 24h volume, which stands out more in this market than in a deep one
$1,679 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
87% hitter, event thesis
A high-volume cross-market bettor with an 87% hit rate is taking Liverpool No at 86¢ in a market that has fallen sharply over the week, suggesting a consistent event-level thesis despite the high price.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved markets across 402 bets, showing a strong history of picking winners
- They have put $13.1k across 4 related Champions League markets, so this looks like a broader tournament view rather than a one-off trade
- This $2.2k order was about 70% of the market's 24h volume, and Liverpool has already dropped 26.5 points over the past week
$2,159 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
5-wallet funded cluster
A newly active wallet with early profits is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster betting the same side, adding coordinated conviction behind Liverpool No at 86¢.
- Five wallets funded by the same source have been active on this thesis, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
- This wallet is new but already shows early success: 5 wins in 7 resolved bets and $2.2k profit.
- The bet came at 86¢ on No after Liverpool's odds fell 25.5 points over the past week, backing the market's recent move.
$1,719 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven cross-market sharp
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and six-figure profit is taking Liverpool No at 63¢, making this a followable sharp-style position despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor has won 698 of 948 resolved markets and is up $113.7k lifetime
- They have traded 205 markets across 121 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- They bought No at 63¢, a fairly liquid price level that suggests Liverpool missing the semifinal is still the preferred side
$2,496 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Serial sports bettor fading Liverpool
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate put $4.4k into Liverpool No, taking nearly 69% of this market’s recent volume in a moderately thin book.
- This bettor has a 74% win rate across 943 resolved markets and is up about $109k lifetime
- The $4.4k buy accounted for 68.9% of this market’s recent volume, showing real conviction
- They bought No at 63¢ in a market with only about $46.5k of liquidity, suggesting they see Liverpool as overpriced
$4,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate is taking Liverpool No at 64¢, making this a followable sharp-style position despite only one signal.
- This bettor has won 74% of 943 resolved trades and is up about $110k lifetime
- They have traded 202 markets across 118 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 64¢ in a reasonably liquid market, signaling a measured view that Liverpool is overpriced at 36% to make the semifinal
$1,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x4900...4a72 — No, $34,152 (86% win rate)
- 0x5f17...519e — No, $25,679 (90% win rate)
- 0x5452...d448 — Yes, $22,000
- 0xfb51...742d — No, $13,105 (74% win rate)
- 0xbdb0...f8ba — No, $12,200 (81% win rate)
- 0xb295...4ee4 — Yes, $7,898
- 0x3542...c3c8 — Yes, $7,000
- 0x9106...afcb — Yes, $6,000 (70% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Yes, $5,330 (66% win rate)
- 0xe72b...b0a0 — Yes, $5,130 (50% win rate)
