UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to semis
23 signals across 7 markets · $114,305 tracked · resolves May 7, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction markets for which clubs will reach the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinals, including Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern München, Liverpool, PSG, Atlético Madrid, and Sporting CP. PolySpotter has tracked $114,305 in smart-money activity across 23 signals, including high win-rate traders and funded wallet clusters moving into the event.
Markets (7)
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?5 signals · $67,026 tracked
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?8 signals · $22,414 tracked
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?4 signals · $8,881 tracked
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?2 signals · $5,609 tracked
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?1 signal · $5,000 tracked
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?2 signals · $4,295 tracked
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?1 signal · $1,080 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 5-wallet funded cluster
A newly active wallet with early profits is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster betting the same side, adding coordinated conviction behind Liverpool No at 86¢.
$1,719Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 12.3 - 87% win-rate event trader
A very active cross-market sports bettor with an 87% hit rate is placing another event-wide position on Bayern, suggesting a deliberate Champions League thesis worth tracking despite the rich price.
$3,184Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 10.0 - 87% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate made a large, fresh buy on Liverpool No, adding notable conviction in a market that has already moved sharply against Yes.
$6,272Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 9.3 - 80% win-rate event trader
A proven 80% win-rate bettor is re-entering Barcelona Yes after previously closing a position, as part of a large cross-market UEFA Champions League portfolio.
$1,147Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 9.1 - 7-wallet funded cluster
A 7-wallet linked cluster is deploying coordinated capital into Barcelona Yes after a sharp weekly price drop, which is notable despite this specific wallet’s weak standalone track record.
$3,148Wallet win rate: 34%Score: 8.8 - 80% winner flips to No
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate opened a fresh No position at 33¢ on Atlético after trading extensively across this event, and the market has already moved sharply in their favor.
$4,421Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate sold Bayern Yes at 82¢, which converts to a Buy No signal around 18¢.
$1,209Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate seller
A highly proven sports/event trader with a 93% win rate sold Yes at 84¢, which translates to buying No at 16¢ on a market that has already surged 19% in a day.
$1,245Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 87% win-rate event specialist
An 87% win-rate serial cross-market trader is positioning across five related Champions League markets, making this a follow-worthy event-wide thesis despite the small single-ticket size.
$1,716Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% win rate is taking a fresh No position on PSG at 37¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,110Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc0d92c…da5e$42,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x49007e…4a72$19,414 · 4 markets · 7 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x5f176a…519e$18,735 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xfb5148…742d$8,826 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 71% wins
- 0xd604ab…cb5f$5,567 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xede051…ff11$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xeffd76…5a86$3,564 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xe02c54…5d08$3,465 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0xee5733…bf1e$3,398 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x57a698…bca4$3,148 · 1 market · 1 alert · 34% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for teams to reach the Champions League semifinals?
This event aggregates the live Polymarket markets for each listed club to advance to the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinals. Each team has its own Yes/No market, so odds can move independently as matchups, injuries, and knockout results change.
Which Champions League teams are included in this prediction market event?
The event currently covers Atlético Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern München, Liverpool, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG), Real Madrid, and Sporting CP. Traders are betting on whether each club will reach the semifinal stage.
What is the smart money doing in this UCL semifinal market?
PolySpotter has flagged 23 smart-money signals totaling $114,305 across the event. Recent alerts include an 87% win-rate event trader, an 87% win-rate serial bettor, an 80% win-rate event trader, and multiple funded wallet clusters, suggesting concentrated activity from experienced accounts.
When does this Champions League semifinal market resolve?
Each team market resolves Yes if that club reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinals. It resolves No if the club is eliminated or it becomes impossible for them to advance, with the event expected to resolve by May 7, 2026.
How should I use PolySpotter for this event?
Use PolySpotter to compare market-implied odds with smart-money activity across all listed teams. The hub helps you see not just which clubs are favored, but where high-performing traders and coordinated wallet clusters are placing capital.