Part of: Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,795.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a long resolved history is taking a $3.3k contrarian shot on the 11¢ underdog in a highly active tennis market.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 457 resolved trades and is up about $150k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 49 sports events, suggesting a repeatable handicapping process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 11¢ is a contrarian underdog position after Cobolli fell 18% over the past day.

$3,300 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 71%

98% winner riding Zverev

Proven 98% win-rate sports bettor bought Zverev before a 21-point move and major volume spike, though the market has already repriced sharply.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $44K lifetime.
  • They bought Zverev at 68¢ before the price jumped to 90¢.
  • A 32x volume spike and 21-point move confirm strong market momentum.

$1,200 on Alexander Zverev | Wallet win rate: 99%

95% sharp bought Zverev

A highly proven sports bettor with a 95% win rate bought Zverev before a sharp move from 82% to 90%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $164K across 2,041 positions.
  • They bought Zverev at 82¢ before the market moved to 90¢.
  • Market activity surged 31.7x above normal with Zverev’s price up 21 percentage points.

$6,400 on Alexander Zverev | Wallet win rate: 95%

Serial trader caught Zverev move

Serial cross-market trader bought Zverev before a major market-wide move, with volume spiking and odds rising from 84% to 90%.

  • This bettor has traded 46 events and joined the Zverev side before odds moved from 84¢ to 90¢.
  • Zverev has seen a 21-point price move with a 31.7x volume spike ahead of the match.
  • The market is very liquid, so the edge is more momentum-based than a thin-market whale signal.

$5,000 on Alexander Zverev | Wallet win rate: 79%

98% winner joins Zverev cluster

A high-score Zverev cluster combines one excellent 98% bettor with coordinated one-sided buying and the price has already moved sharply from their 67–70¢ entries to 82¢.

  • The standout wallet wins 98% of its resolved bets and is up $42K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought $11.5K of Zverev in the same window at 67–70¢.
  • The market has already moved to 82¢, suggesting this flow caught a meaningful price move early.

$11,463 on Alexander Zverev

88% winner buying underdog

A proven sports bettor with an 88% record is buying the Cobolli underdog amid a major pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades and is up $25.8K lifetime.
  • They are backing the 34¢ underdog, implying a roughly 3x payout if Cobolli wins.
  • Market volume is surging 176x above normal, and Cobolli’s price is already up 5 points today.

$1,957 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 95%

Coordinated underdog buying

Four wallets bought $20k of Cobolli at 5¢ within seconds, including one highly profitable bettor, amid a 27x volume spike and an immediate move to 8¢.

  • Four wallets bought $20k of Cobolli within seconds at 5¢, and the price has already moved to 8¢.
  • One buyer has a strong record: 72% wins and about $6.8M in profit across 3,816 resolved bets.
  • This is a contrarian underdog bet after Cobolli’s price fell 20% over the day.

$20,046 on Flavio Cobolli

Proven sharp buying underdog

Proven profitable wallet with 76% historical win rate and extensive cross-market sports activity is buying Cobolli at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $402K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 62 events with a strong track record, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Cobolli at 30¢ backs the underdog where the market implies only a 30% chance.

$1,200 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 76%

$3M profitable sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 78% record and nearly $3M in P&L is backing Zverev, though the bet size is modest and this is only a single signal.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up nearly $3.0M lifetime.
  • They bought Alexander Zverev at 71¢, slightly below the current 72% market price.
  • The stake is modest at $1.2K, so this is more a sharp-follow signal than a whale conviction bet.

$1,228 on Alexander Zverev | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 71285240, $61,275 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x27b0...fc67 Outcome 71285240, $30,000 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xf63a...90e6 Outcome 71285240, $12,067 (32% win rate)
  4. 0xede0...ff11 Outcome 71285240, $10,119 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x20cb...d211 Outcome 71285240, $8,000 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xec8d...dd71 Outcome 71285240, $7,750 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x0165...8235 Outcome 71285240, $5,756 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x8735...162f Outcome 71285240, $5,556 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 71285240, $5,200 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xcea6...5ce3 Outcome 71285240, $5,029 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

ResolvedMadrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$51,795 tracked9 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$3,300 on Flavio Cobolli at 11¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$1,200 on Alexander Zverev at 68¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$6,400 on Alexander Zverev at 82¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$5,000 on Alexander Zverev at 84¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$11,463 on Alexander Zverev at 69¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$1,957 on Flavio Cobolli at 34¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

12d ago

$20,046 on Flavio Cobolli at 5¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

13d ago

$1,200 on Flavio Cobolli at 30¢

Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

13d ago

$1,228 on Alexander Zverev at 71¢

Related Theses