This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 980 bets and is up about $111k lifetime. They bought Leclerc Yes at 40¢, above the current 36¢ market price, showing conviction despite the dip. Their long-term record suggests the wallet itself is the main signal here.

Part of: Monaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,686.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

94% winner buying longshot

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Yes on a longshot Monaco 2026 outcome, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest size and adverse price movement.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 301 events and $4.5M in total volume.
Entry at 9¢ is a longshot bet on Leclerc, with current odds around 6¢ after a sharp price drop.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven 81% winner

Surfaced because a highly proven wallet with 81% wins over 980 resolved bets and $111k lifetime profit bought Yes despite modest alert score.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 980 bets and is up about $111k lifetime.
They bought Leclerc Yes at 40¢, above the current 36¢ market price, showing conviction despite the dip.
Their long-term record suggests the wallet itself is the main signal here.

$1,593 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp buying Yes

A highly proven profitable wallet bought Leclerc Yes at 43¢, making the trader track record the main reason to surface despite the modest alert score.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $110,684 lifetime.
They have a large 978-bet track record and beat average implied odds by about 21 points.
Leclerc has already moved up 14 points this week, and this sharp wallet is still adding at 43¢.

$1,266 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

87% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Leclerc Yes at 35¢, with the bet large relative to recent market activity.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $3.6K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 35¢, implying they see more value than the current Monaco pricing.
The $2.1K buy was large for this market’s recent activity, adding conviction to the move.

$2,122 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Quiet-market F1 whale

A single wallet put $11.1k into Leclerc Yes via selling No, creating an 801x volume spike in a previously quiet long-dated F1 market.

This bettor put $11.1k behind Leclerc winning Monaco, far above the market’s prior daily activity.
The trades drove an 801x volume spike in a market that had only about $221 of recent baseline activity.
Entry around 31¢ implies they see Leclerc as materially underpriced for Monaco 2026.

$11,091 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% winner fades Leclerc

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved-bet win rate bought $7.45k of No on a relatively thin F1 Monaco market.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $68k lifetime.
They have traded across 503 events with nearly $9M in flagged cross-market volume.
The $7.45k No buy was large for this market, about 70% of recent 24h volume.

$7,452 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor fading Leclerc

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 85% resolved win rate bought $5.8k of No on a relatively thin long-dated F1 market, despite only weak low-activity signals.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $66k lifetime.
They put $5.8k on No, more than half of the market’s recent 24h volume.
Entry around 75¢ suggests a conservative fade of Leclerc’s Monaco win chances.

$5,799 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

85% winner buying NO

Sharp cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought a large NO position in a thin F1 market, worth surfacing despite the long-dated event.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $66K lifetime.
They put $4.4K on NO, over 7x the market’s recent 24h volume.
The wallet is a major cross-market trader, active across 531 markets with $8.9M traded.

$4,362 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 72242299, $82,170 (94% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 27721378, $62,157
0x8c76...06ac — Outcome 72242299, $20,091 (71% win rate)
0xf802...d91d — Outcome 72242299, $8,711 (80% win rate)
0xc152...7b79 — Outcome 72242299, $7,372
0x8fef...66ac — Outcome 72242299, $7,349
0x3959...c73d — Outcome 72242299, $2,518 (73% win rate)
0x52ef...6b77 — Outcome 72242299, $2,268
0xbd49...d059 — Outcome 72242299, $2,181 (53% win rate)
0x363a...521e — Outcome 72242299, $2,083

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Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

ResolvedMonaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner$35,686 tracked8 signalsFormula 1f1SportsGrand PrixGames

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.