Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This Polymarket market tracks whether New Zealand will advance from the group stage to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. PolySpotter is tracking $6,385 in smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a 95% winner buying “No,” with the market scheduled to resolve by June 28, 2026, unless New Zealand is eliminated or advances earlier.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,385.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
95% winner buys No
Sharp wallet override: a 95% winner with positive lifetime P&L made a $6.4k No bet that dominated recent volume on a quiet long-dated World Cup market.
- This bettor has won 95% of resolved bets and is up $1.7k lifetime.
- The $6.4k No buy was more than 4x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 68¢ implies they see New Zealand missing the knockout stage as underpriced.
$6,385 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xb619...5068 — No, $10,780 (50% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — Yes, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x0835...0e07 — No, $9,391 (95% win rate)
- 0x5d18...4972 — Yes, $4,841 (67% win rate)
- 0x373a...f4c1 — Yes, $3,486 (56% win rate)
- 0x6c43...fb9b — Yes, $2,350 (42% win rate)
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — Yes, $1,325 (67% win rate)
- 0x891d...dd26 — Yes, $790 (56% win rate)
- 0x59c6...8332 — No, $735 (58% win rate)
- 0xc6b9...de6d — Yes, $672
