Part of: Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
This prediction market asks whether Lindsay Clancy will be convicted of at least one murder charge in the Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case. It resolves by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or after a qualifying retrial that begins before the deadline; PolySpotter also tracks smart-money activity, including a recent signal scaling into Yes.
Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/09/clancy-indictment.pdf. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lindsay Clancy is convicted of at least one murder charge in the ongoing Commonwealth v. Lindsay Clancy case by either the specified date, 11:59 PM ET or, in the event of a mistrial, by the end of any retrial that begins before that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, or results in a verdict of Not Guilty for all murder charges (including by reason of lack of criminal responsibility due to mental illness), this market will resolve to "No". A plea agreement will qualify to resolve this market "Yes" only if it results in a judgment of conviction for murder. If all murder charges against Clancy are dropped, or otherwise changed such that they are no longer considered murder, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,041.
Categories: Courts, Culture, Politics, court cases, massachusetts
Notable Trades
New whale scaling into Yes
A 31-minute-old wallet is repeatedly scaling into a $17,694 Yes position, including a $6,041 purchase in a relatively thin market, though it has no proven track record.
- A wallet less than an hour old has committed $17,694 to Yes, showing strong early conviction.
- The latest $6,041 purchase was more than five times the flagged 24-hour market volume.
- Yes was bought at 34¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful upside from the current 34% market probability.
$6,041 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xcd71...d127 — No, $53,289 (81% win rate)
- 0x0c0e...434e — No, $23,071 (64% win rate)
- 0x0c93...a00b — No, $20,384 (91% win rate)
- 0x64b4...74d4 — Yes, $19,413 (100% win rate)
- 0xe52c...6924 — No, $14,070 (89% win rate)
- 0x1543...baaf — Yes, $11,947 (37% win rate)
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $9,310 (41% win rate)
- 0x4053...fb58 — Yes, $7,586
- 0xb5e2...e599 — Yes, $7,582
- 0x80f1...3ccd — No, $7,032 (93% win rate)
