Part of: Monaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,808.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

88% serial F1 trader

Sharp wallet override: a proven 88% winner with positive lifetime P&L made a fresh directional Hamilton Yes bet via selling No.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 299 resolved trades and is up $10,874 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events with $33,277 in tracked activity.
  • Selling No at 80¢ is equivalent to buying Hamilton Yes around 20¢.

$1,142 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

79% winner buying No

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong 79% record across 808 resolved bets and is adding a meaningful No position in a quiet F1 market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 808 bets and is up $8.3k lifetime.
  • The $1.1k No buy was over half of the market’s reported 24h volume, showing conviction in a relatively quiet market.
  • Entry at 80¢ backs the view that Hamilton is very unlikely to win Monaco in 2026.

$1,097 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

79% winner buying NO

A long-term profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is putting $3.8k on No in a relatively quiet F1 market, despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 808 bets and is up $8.3k lifetime.
  • They put $3.8k on No at 80¢ in a quiet market with under $2k in 24h volume.
  • The trade is a conservative anti-Hamilton position, not a long-shot punt.

$3,802 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

85% winner buying NO

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is taking a meaningful No position in a thin, long-dated F1 market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $67k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 503 events with $8.9M in tracked activity, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process.
  • The $3.8k No buy is large for this thin market, exceeding recent 24h volume and moving in at 74–84¢.

$3,766 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 51139647, $62,157
  2. 0x5452...d448 Outcome 59257537, $8,543 (78% win rate)
  3. 0x8c76...06ac Outcome 59257537, $3,958 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x7d8d...8f77 Outcome 59257537, $3,577
  5. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 59257537, $3,558 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x90ba...63f3 Outcome 59257537, $3,150 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x7803...c9af Outcome 59257537, $2,699 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x85b8...6b6a Outcome 59257537, $2,625 (66% win rate)
  9. 0x21a9...550d Outcome 59257537, $2,000
  10. 0x7f9d...ab79 Outcome 59257537, $1,894 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

ResolvedMonaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner$9,808 tracked4 signalsFormula 1f1SportsGrand PrixGames

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

42d ago

$1,142 on Yes at 20¢

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

52d ago

$1,097 on No at 80¢

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

52d ago

$3,802 on No at 80¢

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

53d ago

$3,766 on No at 80¢

Related Theses