Part of: Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether MicroStrategy will be margin called on any Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, including a forced BTC liquidation, added collateral, or repayment after a formal lender demand. Smart money tracking shows $2,798 monitored with 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 77% winner bought No. The market resolves after the deadline, with final settlement expected on January 1, 2027 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,798.
Categories: Business, Michael Saylor, Stocks, MSTR, MicroStrategy, Crypto, Corporate Financials
Notable Trades
77% winner buys No
A proven profitable bettor with a 77% record is re-entering No on a relatively quiet MicroStrategy margin-call market despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $74k lifetime.
- They bought $2.8k of No at 90¢, a large trade relative to recent activity.
- They previously held No around 88¢ and are re-entering at a similar price.
$2,798 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x42fa...1fc7 — No, $11,116 (91% win rate)
- 0x5a61...2a07 — Yes, $7,480
- 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $2,623 (40% win rate)
- 0x2ca9...b942 — No, $2,216
- 0xf6d1...32b8 — No, $2,000
- 0x7ff1...bd17 — Yes, $1,983
- 0x7a6c...5048 — No, $1,849 (84% win rate)
- 0xedea...a94d — Yes, $1,822
- 0x54fa...0fbc — Yes, $1,168
- 0x07d4...8991 — Yes, $1,100
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