Cross-Market Thesis

Iran deal in late August

This trader is expressing a view that US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?, US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,100 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xcaab178% win rate

Total

$6,100

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
    $4,950 @ 90¢
  2. 2US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
    $1,150 @ 23¢
Iran deal in late August — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter