Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $185,592.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet joins Sweden cluster
A five-wallet cluster is effectively buying Sweden +1.5 after a huge Netherlands price run-up, with one proven 82% winner participating despite some trades looking like profit-taking.
- Five wallets are fading the big Netherlands move, effectively backing Sweden +1.5 at about 28¢.
- One wallet in the group wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $19.7K lifetime.
- This flow is part of a broader $256K pattern across 17 related event markets.
$18,198 on Sweden
97% winner leading cluster
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with over $1M lifetime profit bought $8K of Netherlands before a major move, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.06M lifetime.
- They bought $8K of Netherlands around 50¢ before the market jumped to 80¢.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, with 24h volume surging nearly 19x.
$8,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 93%
New profitable sports whale
A 5-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and strong early results is buying Netherlands -1.5 at 34¢.
- This new bettor is already up $38K with 8 wins in 9 resolved bets.
- The wallet has been flagged 20 times, totaling $152K in notable bets.
- Buying at 34¢ suggests they see meaningful upside on Netherlands winning by 2+ goals.
$3,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial cross-market cluster
Three wallets, including a profitable serial cross-market trader, are buying Netherlands -1.5 into a major pre-game volume spike.
- A profitable bettor in this cluster wins 61% of resolved bets and is up $262k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Netherlands -1.5 side for $5.5k shortly before kickoff.
- Market volume is running 26x above normal, with Netherlands odds up 3 points today.
$5,519 on Netherlands
97% sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Netherlands -1.5 at 32¢.
- This bettor has won 28 of 29 resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 38 events with a 97% hit rate.
- Entry at 32¢ implies they see Netherlands winning by 2+ as underpriced.
$1,288 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 96%
Serial sports bettor backs underdog spread
Experienced high-volume sports trader put $41k on Sweden +1.5 during a major pre-game volume surge, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat despite an 82% hit rate.
- This bettor has won 82% of 247 resolved markets and has traded across 223 events.
- They placed a $41k bet on Sweden +1.5 at 69¢, a large single position even in an active market.
- The market saw a major pre-game volume surge, suggesting other traders are also positioning ahead of kickoff.
$41,314 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor on spread
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 82% record bought Netherlands -1.5 during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $19.7K lifetime.
- They bought Netherlands -1.5 at 32¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if it hits.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with nearly $485K traded in the last 24 hours.
$2,000 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 68%
90% winner buying spread
Sharp 90% lifetime winner with strong cross-market track record is buying Netherlands -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $91.8K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 34 events with $107K traded.
- Market volume is spiking before kickoff, with this sharp buying Netherlands at 32¢.
$1,695 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 91%
$103k one-sided sports flow
Surface this because three wallets bought $103k of Sweden against the spread, led by a serial cross-market sports trader and accompanied by a 903x pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets all bought Sweden, totaling $103k on the same side of the spread.
- The move was led by a serial sports trader who has won 82% of 247 resolved bets.
- Market activity spiked 903x above its historical baseline before the game.
$103,279 on Sweden
97% winning sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong profit is buying Netherlands -1.5 at 33¢.
- This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved positions and is up $11.8K lifetime.
- Their average winning entry was 45¢, so buying Netherlands at 33¢ fits a proven underdog/mid-price edge pattern.
- Entry at 33¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Netherlands win by 2 or more goals.
$1,299 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x7671...7244 — Sweden, $352,877 (84% win rate)
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Sweden, $143,010 (99% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Sweden, $34,361 (85% win rate)
- 0xaa4c...7bfd — Sweden, $3,404 (71% win rate)
- 0xf021...e900 — Sweden, $2,500 (66% win rate)
- 0xc876...9903 — Sweden, $2,239 (100% win rate)
- 0x3520...1fa0 — Sweden, $1,965 (91% win rate)
- 0xd49a...6f4c — Sweden, $1,923 (100% win rate)
- 0x2ae1...378f — Sweden, $1,900 (73% win rate)
- 0x82a1...569c — Sweden, $1,500 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Türkiye wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring matchup
Covers 7 related markets
Iran peace deal odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Portugal wins big clean sheet
Covers 4 related markets
Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
