Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,499.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a strong 76% record and sizable profit bought $3k of Spirit at 84%, alongside a rapid price move in Spirit's favor.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $56.8K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 46¢ odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just backing favorites.
- Spirit moved 13 points in under 5 minutes, and this wallet bought into that momentum at 84¢.
$3,005 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%
New repeat underdog whale
A 3-day-old repeat-flagged wallet is making another meaningful underdog bet, totaling over $15k in flagged activity despite no resolved track record yet.
- A wallet less than 4 days old has now been flagged 3 times for large bets, totaling $15.2k.
- This trade backs the 17¢ underdog in a liquid esports market, implying a high-conviction contrarian view.
- The bet is meaningful size at $3.6k, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.
$3,642 on TheMongolz
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a strong 67% record and nearly $100k profit bought $5.5k of Spirit, though the edge is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 1,369 resolved bets and about $98k profit.
- They have traded 829 markets across 762 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Bought $5.5k of Spirit at 88¢ in a liquid market, backing the heavy favorite despite current odds near 86¢.
$5,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%
82% winner on underdog
Proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate and strong edge is taking a modest underdog position on TheMongolz at 26¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $145k lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by 28 points on average, suggesting a real track record.
- Entry at 26¢ is an underdog bet with roughly 3.8x upside if TheMongolz win.
$1,474 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 83%
94% win-rate esports regular
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought Spirit at 74¢, though the bet size is modest and the market is fairly liquid.
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,580 resolved trades and is up about $170K lifetime.
- They have traded across 93 events and 609 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Entry at 74¢ backs the current favorite, so this is more of a sharp-follow than a long-shot swing.
$1,877 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x99e4...e4c4 — Outcome 11197612, $50,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x9d09...2543 — Outcome 11197612, $31,483
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 11197612, $22,889 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 11197612, $21,454 (58% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — Outcome 11197612, $8,800 (59% win rate)
- 0x80ba...2e78 — Outcome 11197612, $7,783
- 0xa803...2949 — Outcome 11197612, $6,774 (83% win rate)
- 0xecee...a577 — Outcome 11197612, $5,280
- 0x47b3...039c — Outcome 11197612, $5,000
- 0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 11197612, $4,956 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
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