Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,499.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a strong 76% record and sizable profit bought $3k of Spirit at 84%, alongside a rapid price move in Spirit's favor.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $56.8K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average 46¢ odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just backing favorites.
  • Spirit moved 13 points in under 5 minutes, and this wallet bought into that momentum at 84¢.

$3,005 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%

New repeat underdog whale

A 3-day-old repeat-flagged wallet is making another meaningful underdog bet, totaling over $15k in flagged activity despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 4 days old has now been flagged 3 times for large bets, totaling $15.2k.
  • This trade backs the 17¢ underdog in a liquid esports market, implying a high-conviction contrarian view.
  • The bet is meaningful size at $3.6k, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.

$3,642 on TheMongolz

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a strong 67% record and nearly $100k profit bought $5.5k of Spirit, though the edge is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 1,369 resolved bets and about $98k profit.
  • They have traded 829 markets across 762 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Bought $5.5k of Spirit at 88¢ in a liquid market, backing the heavy favorite despite current odds near 86¢.

$5,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%

82% winner on underdog

Proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate and strong edge is taking a modest underdog position on TheMongolz at 26¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $145k lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by 28 points on average, suggesting a real track record.
  • Entry at 26¢ is an underdog bet with roughly 3.8x upside if TheMongolz win.

$1,474 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 83%

94% win-rate esports regular

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought Spirit at 74¢, though the bet size is modest and the market is fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 1,580 resolved trades and is up about $170K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 93 events and 609 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
  • Entry at 74¢ backs the current favorite, so this is more of a sharp-follow than a long-shot swing.

$1,877 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x99e4...e4c4 Outcome 11197612, $50,000 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x9d09...2543 Outcome 11197612, $31,483
  3. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 11197612, $22,889 (59% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 11197612, $21,454 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 11197612, $8,800 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x80ba...2e78 Outcome 11197612, $7,783
  7. 0xa803...2949 Outcome 11197612, $6,774 (83% win rate)
  8. 0xecee...a577 Outcome 11197612, $5,280
  9. 0x47b3...039c Outcome 11197612, $5,000
  10. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 11197612, $4,956 (68% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

ResolvedCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$15,499 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between TheMongolz and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3d ago

$3,005 on Spirit at 84¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3d ago

$3,642 on TheMongolz at 17¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3d ago

$5,500 on Spirit at 88¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3d ago

$1,474 on TheMongolz at 26¢

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3d ago

$1,877 on Spirit at 74¢

Related Theses