Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

42 smart money signals detected, totaling $454,369.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought Spirit at 89%, adding to a broader event-level position.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.36M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 358 events and are positioning in 3 markets tied to this match.
  • Bought Spirit at 89%, and the market has already moved to 92%.

$2,907 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%

New 8-0 esports bettor

A 1-day-old repeat bettor with an 8-0 resolved record and nearly $30k profit is adding to Spirit despite a liquid market.

  • This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved trades and up $29,933 so far.
  • The wallet is only 1 day old but has already had $24,479 in flagged large bets across 8 positions.
  • They bought Spirit at 86¢, ahead of the current 88¢ market price.

$2,450 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

Undefeated serial sharp

Surface: an undefeated, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Team Falcons at 26¢ in a liquid esports final.

  • This bettor has won 38 of 38 resolved positions and is up $251k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with a perfect resolved record.
  • Entry at 26¢ implies they saw Team Falcons as underpriced versus the current 30¢ market.

$1,100 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven esports sharp on Spirit

Sharp esports bettor with a 77% long-term win rate and $104k profit is buying Spirit, alongside one-sided flow from three wallets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved positions and is up $104,815 lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market track record across 32 events with the same 77% win rate.
  • Three wallets bought Spirit in the same window, totaling $6,127 on one side.

$2,624 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 78%

New wallet in Falcons cluster

A brand-new wallet joined a small same-side cluster buying Team Falcons, suggesting coordinated fresh conviction despite no track record.

  • Three wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $10.6K on one side.
  • This wallet was created only 14 minutes before betting, which can signal a fresh high-conviction position.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a contrarian underdog bet versus current 35% market odds.

$1,000 on Team Falcons

90% winner backs underdog

A proven 90% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Team Falcons, alongside same-direction clustered flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
  • They bought Team Falcons at 40¢, taking the underdog side despite the market now showing 32¢.
  • Three wallets are all buying the same side, with $18.6K in one-sided flow.

$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 90%

Repeat new whale with cluster

High-scoring esports alert: a repeat new large bettor with early profits is taking a concentrated Team Falcons position alongside one-sided wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new bettor has already had $25.5K flagged across repeat large bets and is 2-for-2 on resolved trades.
  • Three wallets are all betting Team Falcons, totaling $18.6K in one-sided flow.
  • The market saw a 21.8x pre-event volume spike, and this bettor entered around 40¢ while Falcons now trade near 32¢.

$13,652 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%

Three-wallet Falcons push

Coordinated Team Falcons buying with a 22x pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing, though the price has moved against the entry since the trade.

  • Three wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $18.6K on one side.
  • This repeat large bettor is up $18.7K lifetime despite taking mostly lower-probability prices.
  • The market saw a 22x pre-match volume spike, though Falcons have since drifted from 44¢ to 32¢.

$3,950 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 35%

New wallet joining Spirit flow

New repeat-betting wallet bought $8.5k of Spirit alongside 5-wallet one-sided flow and a 22.9x pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet has already been flagged 7 times, with $20.5k in notable bets and early profit of $1.6k.
  • Five wallets are all buying Spirit, totaling $17.4k on the same side.
  • Market volume is surging 22.9x before the match, and this wallet’s average entry around 59¢ is already ahead of the current 62¢ price.

$8,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable new esports whale

A repeat new wallet with early profits is buying Spirit in size alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike and immediate price follow-through.

  • This new wallet is already up $1,597 on $3,965 invested and has 2 wins from 2 resolved bets.
  • They put $5,000 on Spirit across two buys, with the first entry at 57¢ already moving to 64¢.
  • Market volume is running 27x above its normal pace before the match, supporting the directional move.

$5,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 51851873, $134,126 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 51851873, $60,000 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x41f4...3eac Outcome 51851873, $47,106 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x3936...366d Outcome 51851873, $40,731 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 51851873, $28,750 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x8fbb...9a17 Outcome 51851873, $23,128 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x93f6...4814 Outcome 51851873, $22,666 (35% win rate)
  8. 0x48e0...826d Outcome 51851873, $18,500 (84% win rate)
  9. 0xa41c...fade Outcome 51851873, $15,000 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 51851873, $12,749 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$454,369 tracked42 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
102¢
81¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,907 on Spirit at 89¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,450 on Spirit at 86¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,100 on Team Falcons at 26¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,624 on Spirit at 69¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$13,652 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$3,950 on Team Falcons at 44¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$8,500 on Spirit at 59¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$5,000 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$25,056 on Team Falcons at 43¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$6,126 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$6,795 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$37,200 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,505 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$19,800 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,800 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$100,697 on Spirit at 62¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,600 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,387 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,436 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,000 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$36,486 on Team Falcons at 44¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$11,731 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$48,800 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$45,750 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,400 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,400 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,477 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,709 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,087 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$15,861 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,950 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$1,170 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$3,350 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$10,370 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$2,000 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

3d ago

$4,000 on Spirit at 61¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4d ago

$1,274 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4d ago

$1,970 on Team Falcons at 41¢

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

4d ago

$10,000 on Spirit at 60¢

Related Theses