Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
75 signals across 6 markets · $733,428 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the Counter-Strike 2 grand final between Spirit and Team Falcons at the PGL Astana Playoffs. Traders are pricing which team will win the BO5 match, with PolySpotter tracking $11,970 in smart-money activity across 2 sharp signals, including alerts from a 93% sharp esports bettor and a 75% bettor.
Markets (6)
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs42 signals · $454,369 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner13 signals · $119,417 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner8 signals · $91,751 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner9 signals · $43,505 tracked
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)2 signals · $19,890 tracked
- Games Total: O/U 3.51 signal · $4,497 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 11-wallet Spirit steam move
A large 11-wallet one-sided move bought Spirit before a sharp rally from roughly 60% to 90%, with several profitable sports/event traders involved.
$41,773Score: 39.5 - Perfect-record wallet backs Falcons
A high-scoring Falcons cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a 38-for-38 profitable wallet and $34k of coordinated buying into a fast-moving esports market.
$34,387Score: 27.8 - Sharp linked cluster on Spirit
A $100k one-sided Spirit cluster includes linked wallets and a top bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.77M profit, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite price pulling back below entry.
$100,697Score: 27.1 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
Strong Falcons cluster led by multiple profitable esports/cross-market bettors, including a 37-for-37 wallet with $245k profit, despite some opposing Spirit flow.
$25,056Score: 25.7 - Sharp underdog cluster
High-scoring cluster of proven profitable bettors bought Team Falcons, led by an 88% winner, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
$5,899Score: 21.9 - Sharp six-wallet Spirit cluster
Six wallets bought $32.5k of Spirit, including multiple proven profitable bettors and a 507x pre-event volume spike.
$32,502Score: 21.3 - Sharp underdog cluster
A high-scoring cluster of seven wallets, including multiple profitable high-win-rate traders, is backing Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$36,486Score: 20.5 - 9-wallet esports steam
A large 9-wallet cluster bought Spirit around 54¢ before the market ripped to 86¢, backed by a major pre-event volume spike and several profitable esports traders.
$40,486Score: 19.4 - 90% winner joins Spirit cluster
A highly profitable 90% winner bought $37.2k of Spirit alongside coordinated one-sided flow from 10 wallets and linked funding activity.
$37,200Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 18.6 - 96% winner joining cluster
Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought Spirit alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$4,300Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 18.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x5966db…f804$82,950 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xa69d0c…509b$48,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0xe4f6b3…f51c$27,152 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x05625c…18a4$20,956 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x88d17a…18da$19,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x2322b1…45c3$17,580 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x393607…366d$15,695 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$15,669 · 4 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$13,720 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$13,463 · 4 markets · 5 alerts · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the current Spirit vs Team Falcons odds on Polymarket?
The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing Spirit versus Team Falcons to win the BO5 match. PolySpotter adds context by tracking whether sharp bettors are buying either side.
What is the smart money doing on Spirit vs Team Falcons?
PolySpotter has tracked $11,970 in smart-money activity across this event, including signals from a 93% sharp esports bettor and another sharp 75% bettor. These alerts can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are positioning.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
This event covers the match winner market for Spirit vs Team Falcons. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the BO5, and to Team Falcons if Team Falcons win.
When does the Spirit vs Team Falcons market resolve?
The market is tied to the PGL Astana Playoffs grand final, initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:00 AM ET. It resolves after a match winner is determined, subject to Polymarket’s rules for cancellations or major delays.