Part of: Spurs vs. Thunder

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $256,303.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

82% win-rate sharp

Surfaced despite modest size because the bettor has a strong 82% resolved win rate and $636K lifetime profit.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $636K lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 57¢, and this Spurs spread buy came at 46¢.
  • The market is highly liquid, so the edge is mainly the bettor’s strong track record.

$1,900 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 50%

New 4-0 NBA bettor

A 2-day-old wallet with a 4-0 resolved record and +$4,438 P&L is making another concentrated NBA spread bet on Thunder -6.5.

  • This new bettor is 4-for-4 so far and up $4,438 on $6,786 invested.
  • The wallet is only 2 days old but has already triggered multiple large-bet alerts.
  • Buying Thunder at 55¢ implies they see value despite a very liquid market.

$1,490 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% winner on NBA spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought Thunder -6.5 at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $55.9k lifetime.
  • They bought Thunder -6.5 at 55¢, despite this being a very liquid market with tight pricing.
  • Their past wins came around 67¢ on average, so this 55¢ entry suggests they see value.

$2,063 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor is taking a cross-market Thunder position, though the individual bet is modest in a very liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $1.65M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved trades.
  • They have $16K positioned across 5 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader Thunder-side thesis.
  • Thunder has moved up 5 points today, with a 12x pre-game volume spike supporting the momentum.

$2,331 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 54%

$424K-up cross-market whale

A profitable repeat whale is expressing a $90k cross-market NBA thesis, including $20k on Spurs +6.5, alongside a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $424k lifetime on nearly $2M invested, even with only 48% of resolved bets winning.
  • They put $90k across three markets in the same NBA game, including $20k on Spurs +6.5 and $20k on the Under.
  • Market activity is surging before tipoff, with volume running 43x above its usual pace.

$40,000 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable whale in Thunder flow

High-score NBA alert driven by a profitable large bettor committing $90k across the game plus 5-wallet one-sided Thunder buying.

  • This bettor is up $424k on nearly $2.0M invested, showing strong dollar results despite a 48% hit rate.
  • Five wallets bought Thunder the same way, totaling about $56k of one-sided flow.
  • The whale entered Thunder at 69¢, while the market is now around 54¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original bet.

$90,000 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $235k lifetime profit is buying Thunder across the same event.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 4,911 resolved trades and is up $235,740 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 62 events, 76 markets, and $178,297 traded in this pattern.
  • They are backing Thunder -6.5 at 54¢ while also positioning across 3 markets in the same game.

$1,050 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial event bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 63% record and roughly $710k lifetime profit bought Thunder -6.5 at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 63% of resolved trades and is up about $710k lifetime.
  • They have traded 100 markets across 69 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge.
  • Entry at 53¢ gives a straightforward copy point on Thunder covering the spread.

$5,299 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 47%

Profitable cross-market NBA bettor

A highly profitable high-volume wallet is taking a coordinated cross-market Thunder position despite the individual trade being modest on a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up $1.65M lifetime across 5,395 resolved bets.
  • They have put $19.3k across 3 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader Thunder thesis.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies they see Thunder -6.5 as better than a coin flip.

$1,265 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 54%

98% winner backs Thunder

Surface because this is an extremely sharp NBA bettor with a 98% win rate and strong cross-market track record buying Thunder -6.5.

  • This bettor has won 159 of 162 resolved positions and is up $171,774 lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 129 events with a 98% win rate.
  • Entry at 53¢ suggests they see Thunder -6.5 as mispriced despite a very liquid market.

$2,650 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 63093106, $285,000 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 63093106, $60,179 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xf284...b9f9 Outcome 63093106, $60,000 (89% win rate)
  4. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 63093106, $42,553 (81% win rate)
  5. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 63093106, $38,227 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 63093106, $20,097 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x3450...6793 Outcome 63093106, $13,725 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x3280...ea74 Outcome 63093106, $10,638 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x33dd...ef8a Outcome 63093106, $8,000 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x1af3...b3b4 Outcome 63093106, $7,149 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

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Timberwolves upset in shootout

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Spain wins comfortably

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Brazil wins by four plus

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

ResolvedSpurs vs. Thunder$256,303 tracked14 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 20 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

SAS
62-20
Paycom Center
OKC
64-18
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -7.5O/U: 213.5ML: +210/-258
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

58d ago

$1,900 on Spurs at 46¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

58d ago

$1,490 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

58d ago

$2,063 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

58d ago

$2,331 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$40,000 on Spurs at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$90,000 on Thunder at 69¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$1,050 on Thunder at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$5,299 on Thunder at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$1,265 on Thunder at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$2,650 on Thunder at 53¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$10,036 on Thunder at 52¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

58d ago

$66,018 on Thunder at 55¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

59d ago

$30,000 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

60d ago

$2,200 on Spurs at 51¢

Related Theses