Part of: NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
34 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,380.
Categories: Sports, NBA, 2026 NBA Playoffs
Notable Trades
Sharp trio buying NO
Three profitable, high-volume sports traders bought nearly $60k of No together after a sharp weekly move against OKC, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
- Three proven bettors bought $59.7k of No at 44¢ in the same minute.
- Two wallets have elite records: one wins 80% and is up $394k, another wins 78% and is up $328k.
- Market volume spiked over 1,100x versus baseline while OKC’s price is down 21 points this week.
$59,737 on No
Profitable serial bettor
Despite a low composite score, this is a highly profitable, high-volume wallet with a long track record buying No on OKC at 42¢.
- This bettor has made 1,328 resolved trades and is up about $7.8M lifetime.
- They have traded across 315 events, suggesting this is a seasoned cross-market bettor rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 42¢ means they are fading OKC as the current favorite.
$3,676 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Serial sports trader momentum
A very active cross-market sports trader bought $7.7k of Thunder Yes during an 81.6x volume spike, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is slightly negative so this is more momentum-follow than proven sharp edge.
- This is a highly active bettor with 753 resolved trades and $17.3M invested across Polymarket.
- They bought $7.7k of Yes while market volume spiked 81.6x above normal.
- Thunder Yes is up 16 points this week, so this trade follows strong recent momentum.
$7,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
High-volume serial trader
Experienced high-volume sports trader put $23.3k on OKC Yes amid an 81.6x volume spike and strong weekly momentum, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This trader has 753 resolved bets and wins 85% of them, with over $17M wagered historically.
- They bought $23.3k of Yes at 77¢ across three quick trades, adding meaningful conviction.
- Market activity is spiking 81.6x above its usual pace, and OKC Yes is up 16 points over the past week.
$23,254 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial trader fades favorite
A highly active, profitable cross-market trader is fading OKC at 76%, though the bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 29,822 resolved bets, 70% wins, and $257k in profit.
- They are selling OKC after a 16-point weekly run-up, effectively buying No at 24¢.
- The trade is modest, but it comes from a wallet that has traded 382 events and $1.47M across similar cross-market setups.
$2,028 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports trader
Long-running profitable cross-market trader with a huge resolved sample is buying OKC Yes into strong market momentum, though the bet size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 29,104 resolved trades and is up about $250K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 367 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- OKC has moved sharply higher, up 17 points today and 25 points this week, and this buy adds at 78¢.
$1,885 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a large sample is buying OKC Yes amid strong upward price momentum, though the individual bet is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 2,204 resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 events and 70 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
- OKC Yes has already moved up 18 points in 24 hours, and this buy follows the momentum at 79¢.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader bought OKC Yes into strong upward momentum, though the stake is modest for a liquid market.
- This bettor has a large track record: 2,204 resolved bets and about $98k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 69 markets in 29 events.
- OKC has strong momentum, with Yes up 17.5 points today and 25.5 points this week.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
97% winner backs OKC
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win record and $71.8k profit bought $10k of Oklahoma City Yes at 78¢.
- This bettor has won 28 of 29 resolved trades and is up $71.8k lifetime.
- They put $10,000 on Oklahoma City at 78¢, showing meaningful conviction.
- Their past wins came at 74¢ average odds, so the record is not just from betting huge favorites.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume serial trader is taking a $10.6k contrarian No position despite only modest automated signal strength.
- This bettor is up $1.14M lifetime across 1,342 resolved markets.
- They have traded 128 markets across 91 events, suggesting a broad repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 40¢ goes against Oklahoma City’s 60% market-implied favorite status.
$10,647 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 99090575, $438,705
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 10587443, $167,832 (64% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 10587443, $150,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x72d8...5213 — Outcome 10587443, $89,152 (98% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 10587443, $37,511 (66% win rate)
- 0xddf4...2680 — Outcome 10587443, $31,761 (93% win rate)
- 0x5c05...8cd5 — Outcome 10587443, $30,716 (100% win rate)
- 0x13da...3302 — Outcome 10587443, $19,840
- 0x54ff...013a — Outcome 10587443, $15,895 (87% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 10587443, $12,060
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