Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Ben Shelton, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 31, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $414,624 in smart money and 7 recent signals, including sharp activity backing the favorite.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $520,328.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
85% win-rate sports regular
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought $8.3k of Ben Shelton amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets across 708 results and is up about $39k lifetime.
- They are a very active sports trader, with $8.6M across 483 events flagged by the cross-market system.
- The $8.3k buy came during a huge pre-event volume spike, and the market has already moved toward Ben Shelton.
$8,303 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% winner buys $104k
Sharp sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and +$5.9M P&L placed a $104k Ben Shelton position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $5.9M lifetime.
- They put $104k on Ben Shelton, adding size at 80–84¢ before the match.
- This wallet is a serial sports trader across 27 events with $15M+ in tracked activity.
$104,135 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% sports sharp buys favorite
A highly experienced cross-market sports bettor with an 85% win rate bought $8.5k of Ben Shelton during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 85% of 708 resolved bets and is up about $39k lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market sports trader, active across 482 events with $8.6M total staked.
- The market saw a huge pre-event volume spike, and this wallet put $8.5k on Ben Shelton at 84¢.
$8,526 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader bought Ben Shelton amid a large pre-match volume surge, creating a credible momentum signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor has traded across 38 events and is up $8.5k lifetime on $289k invested.
- They bought Ben Shelton at 80¢ while the market has moved to about 82¢.
- Pre-match trading volume is far above normal, with 17 trades contributing to a major volume spike.
$4,300 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable whale backs favorite
A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor put $246K on Ben Shelton amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor is up $6.6M lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
- They placed a $246K bet on Ben Shelton, larger than the market’s prior 24h volume.
- Market activity spiked 3,622x versus normal levels before the match.
$246,325 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 60%
Serial sports trader joins surge
Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable history bought Ben Shelton during an unusually large pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has traded 792 markets across 605 events and is profitable over a very large sample.
- Market activity spiked more than 3,600x above its historical average before the match.
- The trade backs the heavy favorite at 83¢, implying a lower-risk copy than a long-shot bet.
$1,655 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable whale backs favorite
A highly profitable sports bettor put $41.4k on Ben Shelton amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 32 resolved bets.
- They placed a large $41.4k bet on Ben Shelton at 81¢.
- Market volume spiked over 3,600x versus baseline before the match.
$41,380 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp cluster backs favorite
Surface: four wallets put $63.5k on Ben Shelton, led by highly profitable bettors including a 22-0 wallet and an 82% winner up $5.9M.
- A 22-0 bettor and an 82% bettor up $5.9M both bought Ben Shelton.
- Four wallets put $63.5k on the same side, making up 83% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This market saw a 2,859x pre-match volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction.
$63,477 on Ben Shelton
22-0 sharp exits favorite
A 22-0 profitable wallet exited Ben Shelton amid a major pre-event volume spike, which is notable but less clean because it appears to be closing an existing position rather than opening a fresh one.
- This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved bets and is up $178K lifetime.
- They sold $14.4K of Ben Shelton at 81¢ as the market saw a huge pre-event volume spike.
- This looks like closing a prior Shelton position, so the signal is more cautious than a fresh underdog bet.
$14,399 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and +$287K P&L bought $4.3K of Ben Shelton at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $287K lifetime.
- They have repeated this cross-market pattern across 40 events with a 91% hit rate.
- A $4.3K buy at 78¢ signals confidence in Shelton despite a fairly liquid market.
$4,257 on Ben Shelton | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 68937988, $218,778 (68% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 68937988, $15,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x1137...e601 — Outcome 68937988, $10,694 (68% win rate)
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 68937988, $8,980 (74% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 68937988, $7,027 (55% win rate)
- 0xcec1...9c0c — Outcome 68937988, $5,051 (60% win rate)
- 0x8c81...dcd3 — Outcome 68937988, $5,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xdc29...422a — Outcome 68937988, $3,533 (45% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 68937988, $3,341 (45% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 68937988, $3,098 (56% win rate)
