Part of: Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste

Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,450.

Notable Trades

82% win-rate sports bettor

A serial cross-market sports bettor with an 82% hit rate just made a bet nearly 4x the market’s 24h volume in a very thin tennis handicap market.

This bettor has won 776 of 948 resolved markets, an 82% hit rate across 26 events.
The $2,450 buy was 373% of this market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing unusual conviction in a thin market.
They bought Sabalenka at 70¢, close to the current ask, in a market with only $656 traded today.

$2,450 on Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xcfde...8ad8 — Outcome 74216201, $140
0xae45...96b9 — Outcome 74216201, $76
0xfc7e...70ec — Outcome 74216201, $50
0xb41e...11fd — Outcome 74216201, $40
0x244f...03a7 — Outcome 74216201, $7
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 74216201, $4
0x9987...1369 — Outcome 74216201, $1

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Buckley beats Brady decisively

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Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)

ResolvedMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste$2,450 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sabalenka" if Aryna Sabalenka wins by 2 or more sets than Hailey Baptiste, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baptiste." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.