Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

This Polymarket covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev, resolving to the player who advances. The match was originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, with market resolution expected by May 31, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $1,384 in smart money activity, including sharp-trader signals backing the underdog.

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,755.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

81% winner backs underdog

Surface because this is a highly proven serial sports trader with an 81% win rate and over $546k profit buying the Walton upset despite the market moving lower afterward.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $547k lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with over $4.0M bet across 790 markets.
  • They bought Adam Walton at 32¢, implying a contrarian underdog view versus the current 27¢ market price.

$1,384 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp traders on underdog

Four wallets bought Adam Walton, led by two highly profitable serial sports traders with strong track records despite the market now trading below their entry.

  • Two proven bettors joined this Adam Walton buy, including one up $12.7M lifetime and another who wins 81% of resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought the same underdog within minutes at about 33¢ total entry.
  • The market has surged 20.6 points in the last day but is now 27¢, below where this cluster entered.

$4,697 on Adam Walton

Profitable serial sports sharp

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Daniil Medvedev at 67¢ on a tennis market with strong recent price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $132,764 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 112 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Medvedev’s odds are up 27 points in the past day, and this sharp bettor is still buying at 67¢.

$1,140 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial sports trader

A massively profitable serial sports trader with $12.7M lifetime P&L is buying Adam Walton after a sharp price move, though the position size is modest.

  • This bettor is up $12.7M lifetime across nearly 9,000 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 1,981 events and win 71% of resolved bets, suggesting a real sports-market edge.
  • They bought Adam Walton at 34¢ after Walton’s odds jumped 27 points in the past day.

$1,103 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 71%

89% winner backs favorite

Sharp tennis bettor with an 89% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Daniil Medvedev at 66¢ despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $125k lifetime.
  • Their record is based on 725 resolved positions, so the track record is unusually strong.
  • Entry at 66¢ implies they see Medvedev as better than the current market price.

$1,180 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 89%

86% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Daniil Medvedev at 87¢ despite the market already being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $52K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $473K deployed across 164 events.
  • Buying at 87¢ shows confidence that Medvedev is still underpriced despite already being the heavy favorite.

$2,026 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 86%

77% winner backing favorite

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 77% record across 194 resolved bets bought Medvedev at 84¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 194 resolved bets and is profitable overall.
  • They bought Daniil Medvedev at 84¢, and the market has already moved to 88¢.
  • Their historical results beat average implied odds by about 20 points.

$1,225 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 77%

93% winner backing underdog

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Adam Walton at 12%, now already trading higher.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 29 resolved bets and is up $456K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with a 93% win rate.
  • Entry at 12¢ on Adam Walton has already moved to 16¢, suggesting early value capture.

$1,000 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4be1...aa70 Adam Walton, $35,503 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x2ee3...3a0a Daniil Medvedev, $24,000 (88% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Adam Walton, $21,148 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x710c...78ea Daniil Medvedev, $19,442 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x2005...75ea Daniil Medvedev, $13,885 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x56c9...0d9e Daniil Medvedev, $13,799 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x9d94...017d Daniil Medvedev, $11,545
  8. 0x854a...5e9e Daniil Medvedev, $10,169 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xf8a7...6fa3 Daniil Medvedev, $9,000
  10. 0x58b3...653c Adam Walton, $7,500 (45% win rate)

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Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

4dRoland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev$13,755 tracked8 signalsTennisGamesSports
Adam Walton
3¢
Daniil Medvedev
97¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Daniil Medvedev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Adam Walton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Daniil Medvedev
97¢
92¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$1,384 on Adam Walton at 32¢

32¢3¢29¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$4,697 on Adam Walton at 33¢

33¢3¢30¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$1,140 on Daniil Medvedev at 67¢

67¢97¢30¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$1,103 on Adam Walton at 34¢

34¢3¢31¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$1,180 on Daniil Medvedev at 66¢

66¢97¢31¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

1h ago

$2,026 on Daniil Medvedev at 87¢

87¢97¢10¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

2h ago

$1,225 on Daniil Medvedev at 84¢

84¢97¢13¢

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

2h ago

$1,000 on Adam Walton at 12¢

12¢3¢9¢

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