Part of: Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Google will make a model explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a direct successor variant after Gemini 3.1, available to the general public by May 22, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,400 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent profitable-wallet buy on YES.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,400.

Categories: AI, google, Tech

Notable Trades

New profitable wallet buys YES

A 5-day-old wallet with early profits is making a fresh Yes bet on a near-deadline AI release market with modest liquidity.

  • This 5-day-old wallet is already up $602 across 7 positions.
  • They bought $1.4K of Yes at 68¢ with the deadline about two weeks away.
  • The market has only $4.8K of liquidity, so this is a meaningful conviction bet.

$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x133a...06ab No, $19,750
  2. 0x1bfd...40d0 Yes, $5,663
  3. 0x413f...47f3 No, $3,000
  4. 0xc327...a208 Yes, $2,889 (71% win rate)
  5. 0x01de...a558 Yes, $2,416 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xe64e...c86f Yes, $2,000
  7. 0x55f1...842d Yes, $1,855
  8. 0xd029...4fc1 Yes, $1,500
  9. 0xbeb9...3870 Yes, $1,000 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x5d91...35b8 Yes, $821 (86% win rate)

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

14dGemini 3.2 released by...?$1,400 tracked1 signalAIgoogleTech
Yes
78¢
No
23¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market). Specialized models for non-text modalities such as video generation (e.g., Veo), image generation (e.g., Imagen, Nano Banana), music generation (e.g., Lyria), or robotics (e.g., Gemini Robotics) will NOT qualify, even if released under the Gemini 3.2 version number. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., Gemini 3.1 GA) or a new flagship generation (e.g., Gemini 4) or similar that are not explicitly labeled as described above will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
85¢
52¢
19¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

4h ago

$1,400 on Yes at 68¢

68¢78¢10¢