Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,179.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp-led Guardians cluster

Three wallets piled into Cleveland as the market violently repriced, and one of them is a proven profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and strong edge.

  • A bettor who wins 78% of their trades and is up $190.8k joined this move on the Guardians side.
  • Three wallets bet the same way in minutes, totaling $8.3k, while Guardians odds jumped from about 40-46¢ to 20¢ implied for Rays.
  • One wallet was taking profit on a prior Rays position, but in a binary market that still maps to buying Guardians around 19¢.

$8,260 on Cleveland Guardians

93% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Cleveland at 23¢ just before a sharp move to 42¢, suggesting a strong edge and excellent entry.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $580.7k across 192 settled positions.
  • They bought Cleveland at 23¢, and the price quickly jumped to 42¢, showing the market moved hard in their favor.
  • The entry implies they saw Cleveland as badly underpriced, with the market now valuing the same outcome 19 points higher.

$2,247 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Cleveland at 62¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already moving slightly against their entry.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up about $581k lifetime.
  • They have done this across 192 settled positions and 108 different events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a lucky streak.
  • They bought Cleveland at 62¢ for $6.5k, a meaningful position from a proven winner.

$6,504 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor in 3-wallet surge

A proven sharp wallet with a 93% win rate joined two other wallets to buy Cleveland as the price ripped higher, creating a notable coordinated move worth tracking despite the mixed quality of the other wallets.

  • One wallet in this cluster wins 93% of its bets and is up $580.7k across 192 resolved markets
  • Three wallets put $9.1k on Cleveland together, and the price jumped about 23 points during the move
  • The best entry was 23¢ and even the larger buys at 40-46¢ suggest they saw the underdog as mispriced

$9,055 on Cleveland Guardians

85% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.85M in realized profit bought Cleveland at 56¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 377 resolved bets and is up $1.85M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across sports markets — 328 markets in 253 events — which points to a repeatable edge, not a one-off hit.
  • They bought Cleveland at 56¢, a price that suggests they see the Guardians as meaningfully better than a coin flip.

$6,272 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable new whale repeats

A 7-day-old wallet with nearly $550k in repeatedly flagged size and early profit just put $27k on Cleveland during a huge pregame volume surge, making this a notable conviction bet despite limited resolved history.

  • This 7-day-old wallet has already triggered 28 large-bet alerts and is up about $39k early.
  • They just put $27k on Cleveland at 56¢ in two buys, showing concentrated conviction.
  • Market volume is running about 272x normal, so this bet is landing during a real pregame rush of money.

$27,078 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%

New whale with early profits

A 7-day-old wallet has already deployed over $543k across 27 flagged bets and is up $39k, making this fresh $21.6k buy on Cleveland worth tracking despite the routine sports market.

  • This 7-day-old wallet has already made 27 large flagged bets totaling $543k and is up about $39k.
  • It just put $21.6k on Cleveland at 56¢, a sizable position from a very active new account.
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this looks like deliberate conviction rather than a random punt in a thin book.

$21,552 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%

New whale pressing Cleveland

A 7-day-old wallet with $543k in recent flagged action and early profit dropped $43k on Cleveland into a major pregame volume spike, signaling repeat high-conviction behavior worth watching.

  • This 7-day-old wallet has already made $543k in flagged bets and is up about $39k early
  • They bought $43k of Cleveland in three trades at 56¢, showing concentrated conviction
  • The market saw a 221x volume spike, so this bet landed during unusual pregame activity

$43,381 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable new wallet whale

A 7-day-old wallet with unusually heavy repeat betting and early profits put $21.8k on Cleveland, suggesting real conviction despite limited resolved history.

  • A 7-day-old wallet has already triggered 25 large-bet alerts and is up $39.5k early
  • They just put $21.8k on Cleveland at 56¢, a clear concentrated position in one game
  • This is a liquid MLB market, so the signal is the wallet's repeat sizing and fast early profits rather than thin-market noise

$21,830 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9714...76ad Outcome 25972042, $89,524 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xba81...dc35 Outcome 25972042, $22,775 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 25972042, $2,813
  4. 0x5e39...ed5f Outcome 25972042, $1,767 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x2c55...97d4 Outcome 25972042, $1,558 (82% win rate)
  6. 0xc7e5...2d3a Outcome 25972042, $679 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x4575...3a3f Outcome 25972042, $673
  8. 0xe216...7448 Outcome 25972042, $576 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 25972042, $550 (67% win rate)
  10. 0xe0d2...ad14 Outcome 25972042, $533

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

ResolvedTampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$146,179 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 27 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
3
17-11
Final
CLE
2
15-15
TB +119CLE -143O/U 8
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
18,029

Notable Trades

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$8,260 on Cleveland Guardians at 19¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$2,247 on Cleveland Guardians at 23¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$6,504 on Cleveland Guardians at 62¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$9,055 on Cleveland Guardians at 23¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$6,272 on Cleveland Guardians at 56¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$27,078 on Cleveland Guardians at 56¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$21,552 on Cleveland Guardians at 56¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$43,381 on Cleveland Guardians at 56¢

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

38d ago

$21,830 on Cleveland Guardians at 56¢

Related Theses