Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,464.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

91% winner backing France

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $6,000 of France reaching the semifinals amid strong upward price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $4,242 lifetime.
  • They put $6,000 on Yes at 66¢, adding conviction to a market already up 14 points today.
  • Entry at 66¢ implies they see value despite France already being priced as likely to reach the semifinals.

$2,964 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

89% winner sizing up

A high-win-rate wallet with 17 wins in 19 resolved bets is making a much larger-than-usual buy on France Yes amid strong upward market momentum.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 19 resolved bets, far above the odds they usually entered at.
  • They are now buying much bigger than their prior tracked activity, putting $1,300 on Yes at 66¢.
  • France Yes has already moved up 13.5 points in 24 hours, so this follows strong market momentum.

$1,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

91% winner backing France

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $6,000 of France reaching the semifinals amid strong upward price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $4,242 lifetime.
  • They put $6,000 on Yes at 66¢, adding conviction to a market already up 14 points today.
  • Entry at 66¢ implies they see value despite France already being priced as likely to reach the semifinals.

$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

82% winner buying Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a proven profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate made a $9.2k Yes buy despite the alert's otherwise weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $87k lifetime.
  • They put $9.2k on Yes at 53¢, a meaningful single bet in this market.
  • France Yes has already moved up 7 points this week, and this sharp wallet is adding with conviction.

$9,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 11833328, $25,182 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x5fd8...ce32 Outcome 11833328, $14,477 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xe8c2...3048 Outcome 11833328, $10,925 (91% win rate)
  4. 0x51fd...4272 Outcome 11833328, $7,571
  5. 0x7804...7025 Outcome 11833328, $5,677 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x30ab...d42d Outcome 11833328, $5,000
  7. 0xfb68...a240 Outcome 11833328, $4,000 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x05f0...2469 Outcome 11833328, $3,000
  9. 0x373a...f4c1 Outcome 11833328, $2,659 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x7643...fb95 Outcome 11833328, $2,180

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Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$19,464 tracked4 signalsSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18d ago

$2,964 on Yes at 66¢

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

19d ago

$1,300 on Yes at 66¢

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

20d ago

$6,000 on Yes at 66¢

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21d ago

$9,200 on Yes at 53¢

Related Theses