Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,605.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 68% wallet is making a $5k cross-market bet against this tweet-count range late in the event, with recent price movement supporting the direction.

This bettor has won 68% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
They put nearly $5k on No while also trading another market in the same Elon tweet-count event.
Entry at 74¢ suggests a high-conviction bet that this count range misses.

$4,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

81% serial market bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved-bet record is buying No on this tweet-count range after major recent movement.

This bettor has won 81% of 1,910 resolved bets and is up $12.1K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $652K tracked across 133 markets in 50 events.
Buying No at 62¢ goes against the recent Yes rally, which is up 28 points this week.

$1,656 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 49884439, $257,199
0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 85632828, $30,000
0xe5bd...339a — Outcome 85632828, $8,565
0x9034...4375 — Outcome 85632828, $6,522 (34% win rate)
0x0f7f...6450 — Outcome 85632828, $6,195 (19% win rate)
0x93fd...7e2f — Outcome 85632828, $6,150
0x7c6c...1f86 — Outcome 85632828, $5,564 (48% win rate)
0x4067...6ffa — Outcome 85632828, $4,211 (40% win rate)
0x193a...35c0 — Outcome 85632828, $4,069
0xc732...45b3 — Outcome 85632828, $4,000

Related Theses

Iran deal before June ends

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?$6,605 tracked2 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.