Part of: National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,381.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor adds to Rinderknech

A proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 35 cents.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 191 resolved positions and is up $486,890.
  • They are adding $11,693 to an existing Rinderknech position at 35¢, while the market is now 40¢.
  • Their average entry odds are 54%, yet they have achieved a reported 30% edge over 191 bets.

$6,000 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 83%

New bettor scaling into Tiafoe

A 10-hour-old repeat bettor with early profits added substantially to Tiafoe during a 45x market volume spike, though the position is currently underwater.

  • This 10-hour-old wallet has already made five positions, with $14,147 flagged across repeated large bets.
  • The $5,000 Tiafoe purchase coincided with a 45x historical volume spike in the match market.
  • The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved trades and is up $1,482, but Tiafoe has since fallen from 66¢ to 60¢.

$1,818 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor backs Rinderknech

A proven 84% bettor is adding to a substantial Arthur Rinderknech position alongside two other wallets during a 45x volume spike, despite the broader cluster including two historically losing traders.

  • One wallet has won 84% of 191 resolved positions and is up $486,890, with a 30-point edge over its average entry odds.
  • Three wallets collectively added $18,730 to Arthur Rinderknech during a 45x historical volume spike.
  • All three wallets already held Rinderknech, so this is increased conviction rather than fresh positioning; two have losing track records.

$18,730 on Arthur Rinderknech

New bettor scaling into Tiafoe

A 10-hour-old repeat bettor with early profits added substantially to Tiafoe during a 45x market volume spike, though the position is currently underwater.

  • This 10-hour-old wallet has already made five positions, with $14,147 flagged across repeated large bets.
  • The $5,000 Tiafoe purchase coincided with a 45x historical volume spike in the match market.
  • The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved trades and is up $1,482, but Tiafoe has since fallen from 66¢ to 60¢.

$5,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor adds to Rinderknech

A proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 35 cents.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 191 resolved positions and is up $486,890.
  • They are adding $11,693 to an existing Rinderknech position at 35¢, while the market is now 40¢.
  • Their average entry odds are 54%, yet they have achieved a reported 30% edge over 191 bets.

$11,693 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 83%

Three-wallet Tiafoe buying cluster

Three wallets placed $10.9K on Tiafoe during a 135x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite two wallets adding to existing positions and one having a poor record.

  • Three wallets committed $10,939 to Frances Tiafoe around 64¢ during a sharp 135x volume spike.
  • One participating bettor is up $582K lifetime across more than 3,200 resolved bets.
  • Two wallets were adding to existing Tiafoe positions, while the cluster’s 66¢ market price still leaves a modest entry edge.

$10,939 on Frances Tiafoe

Sharp bettor scaling into Tiafoe

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $50,000 to an existing Tiafoe position.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 378 resolved positions and is up $4.6 million lifetime.
  • They added $50,000 to an existing Tiafoe position, bringing their total investment to roughly $130,000.
  • The 64¢ entry is below the market’s implied 64% chance and the market remains liquid with a 1¢ spread.

$50,000 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 85%

94% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought Tiafoe at 64% in a liquid tennis market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 409 resolved positions and is up $7.4 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has historically won at an average price of 49%, indicating a strong edge beyond simply backing favorites.
  • A fresh $3,200 purchase backs Frances Tiafoe at 64% against a tight 63–64¢ market.
  • copy_action or null

$3,200 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor scaling into Rinderknech

A proven high-edge bettor with an 85% win rate is adding to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 37¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 61 resolved trades and is up $54,547.
  • They are adding $3,001 to an existing Rinderknech position at 37¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • The bettor has traded 26 different events while maintaining the same 85% win rate, making this more than a one-off wager.

$3,001 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 55595153, $80,298 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 55595153, $29,623 (32% win rate)
  3. 0x3ea2...e8e5 Outcome 55595153, $24,250 (25% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 55595153, $7,669 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x6195...b9e3 Outcome 55595153, $5,565 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 55595153, $5,000 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x6340...e272 Outcome 55595153, $2,942 (73% win rate)
  8. 0xf9d6...730a Outcome 55595153, $2,100 (81% win rate)
  9. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 55595153, $2,034 (85% win rate)
  10. 0x2c8b...bc05 Outcome 55595153, $1,900

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National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech$110,381 tracked9 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Arthur Rinderknech in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Arthur Rinderknech
85¢
59¢
33¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$6,000 on Arthur Rinderknech at 35¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$1,818 on Frances Tiafoe at 66¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$18,730 on Arthur Rinderknech at 37¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$5,000 on Frances Tiafoe at 66¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$11,693 on Arthur Rinderknech at 35¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$10,939 on Frances Tiafoe at 64¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$50,000 on Frances Tiafoe at 64¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$3,200 on Frances Tiafoe at 64¢

National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech

17d ago

$3,001 on Arthur Rinderknech at 37¢

Related Theses