Part of: Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,438.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Norway Eliteserien

Notable Trades

Serial 97% winner buys Yes

A highly active 97% winner made a fresh Yes purchase amid an extraordinary 397x volume spike, though the trade follows a prior position and was bought at favorite-like odds.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 5,950 resolved trades across 223 events, with $17,622 in recorded profit.
  • The $2,009 Yes purchase coincided with a 397x spike over the market’s historical trading volume.
  • The wallet previously held and closed a $13,323 Yes position, so this is a re-entry rather than an entirely new thesis.

$2,009 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Three-wallet Yes conviction cluster

Three wallets deployed $16.9K toward Yes during a 113x volume spike, with two wallets adding to existing Yes positions and the market rising from roughly 57% to 74%.

  • Three wallets committed $16,872 to Yes, including two adding to existing positions and one exiting No.
  • The trades coincided with a 113x volume spike and a sharp move from about 57% to 74%.
  • The largest bettor has over $6.0M in lifetime profit across nearly 20,000 resolved bets.

$16,872 on Yes

Sharp bettor makes oversized Yes bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge made a concentrated $7,147 Yes bet in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 61 resolved positions and is up $602,381.
  • The $7,147 wager is more than seven times the flagged 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Fredrikstad FK.
  • The 53¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Yes already trading near market consensus.

$7,147 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

87% win-rate serial bettor buys No

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial edge bought No at 47% in a liquid soccer market.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 134 resolved trades and is up $352,763.
  • Their average winning entry is 47%, matching this No purchase at 47% and indicating a strong historical edge.
  • The $1,410 position supports No while the market is near evenly priced at 46%.

$1,410 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2759...2b38 Outcome 70566848, $10,038 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xc291...5d74 Outcome 70566848, $3,676 (66% win rate)
  3. 0xd239...4ac2 Outcome 70566848, $3,500 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xe954...1ef1 Outcome 70566848, $2,143 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x224f...514a Outcome 70566848, $2,128 (84% win rate)
  6. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 70566848, $2,016
  7. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 70566848, $1,329 (56% win rate)
  8. 0xefde...6505 Outcome 70566848, $1,184 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x1eef...83aa Outcome 70566848, $1,100 (62% win rate)
  10. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 70566848, $863

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Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

ResolvedFredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK$27,438 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerNorway Eliteserien

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Fredrikstad FK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
74¢
62¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

26d ago

$2,009 on Yes at 88¢

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

26d ago

$16,872 on Yes at 57¢

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

26d ago

$7,147 on Yes at 53¢

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

26d ago

$1,410 on No at 47¢

Related Theses