What is the Ohio 2026 Senate turnout prediction market?

It is a prediction market on whether the total number of valid votes cast in Ohio’s 2026 Senate election will be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000.

What votes are included in the Ohio Senate turnout total?

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified Ohio Senate election are included in the reported total.

How does this market resolve if the vote total is on a bracket boundary?

If the reported vote total falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket.

When will the Ohio midterm turnout market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve using definitive election results. If results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 p.m. ET, it resolves to the lowest range bracket.

Where can I find the latest Polymarket odds for Ohio Senate turnout?

Live odds and market activity are displayed on the market page and can change as traders buy and sell positions.

Part of: Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?

This prediction market covers whether total valid votes cast in Ohio’s 2026 U.S. Senate election will fall between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000. It resolves using certified votes for candidates and non-candidate options; if the result is exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher range applies. Final resolution is expected by March 31, 2027, if election results are not known earlier.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,340.

Categories: turnout, Midterms, Politics, Elections, Midterm MOV, Ohio Midterm, Senate midterms

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds to No

A profitable serial cross-market trader added $2,340 to No in an exceptionally thin market, with the position already appreciating from roughly 84¢ to 99¢.

This bettor has won 69% of 54 resolved trades and is up $34,928 overall.
They added $2,340 to No at an average price near 85¢ in a market with only $32 of total volume.
The existing No position was increased as the market moved to 99%, showing strong conviction in the bracket being missed.

$2,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%