Part of: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $245,055.

Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught 7¢ longshot

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate bought the 7% underdog right before the market ripped to 94%, signaling a strong cross-market trader worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $1.29M across 1,345 resolved bets
  • They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 7¢, and the market is now 94¢ after a fast 16.5-point move
  • This wallet has traded 293 markets across 173 events, so this looks like a repeatable event-trading edge

$1,126 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 74%

Sharp bettor in 10-wallet wave

A proven high-win-rate esports bettor bought Bilibili Gaming before a coordinated 10-wallet surge that pushed the price from 50% to 92%, suggesting strong informed conviction.

  • This bettor wins 88% of 1,187 resolved markets and is up $175k lifetime
  • 10 wallets piled into the same side for $34.8k, and some share funding links
  • They bought Bilibili Gaming at 50¢ before the market jumped to 92¢

$2,500 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

5-wallet contrarian esports cluster

Five wallets collectively took a sizable contrarian position on Ninjas in Pyjamas in a fast-moving esports market, including profitable traders and a new wallet that has already been betting large across markets.

  • Five wallets put $23.6k behind Ninjas in Pyjamas while the market still prices them at just 20¢.
  • Several wallets are profitable long-term, including traders up $52k and $56k lifetime.
  • This hit during an 18x volume spike with sharp price swings, showing strong conviction on both sides.

$23,560 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

85% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp esports bettor with an 85% win rate bought Bilibili Gaming at 50¢ before a coordinated 11-wallet move pushed the price to 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $698k across 82 resolved bets.
  • 11 wallets piled into the same side for nearly $37.9k, and the price jumped from 50¢ to 80¢ right after.
  • The trade was entered at 50¢ in a liquid market, implying they saw a major mispricing before the move.

$4,540 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 86%

11-wallet esports pile-in

A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a large $11.9k buy that joined 11 wallets piling into Bilibili Gaming, helping drive a fast 15-point move in a liquid esports market.

  • 11 wallets bought Bilibili Gaming together for $37.9k, a strong one-sided signal.
  • This 3-day-old wallet has already made 6 notable bets, is up $3.6k, and added $11.9k here.
  • The trade hit at 60¢ and the market quickly moved to 80¢, showing immediate follow-through.

$11,856 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

11-wallet BLG pile-in

A brand-new wallet with repeated large activity joined an 11-wallet one-sided surge into Bilibili Gaming just before a sharp repricing from 55¢ to 80¢, making the coordinated flow more notable than the individual wallet’s weak record.

  • 11 wallets all bought Bilibili Gaming in the same burst, totaling $37.9k
  • This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 15 times for large bets, showing aggressive repeated conviction
  • The buy hit at 55¢ before the market jumped to 80¢ in about 2 minutes

$1,804 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 59%

15-wallet esports sharp cluster

A 15-wallet cluster put $115k on Bilibili Gaming, including several high-win-rate cross-market bettors and a new wallet already showing profits, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the market snapping back below many entries.

  • 15 wallets piled $115k into Bilibili Gaming, a much larger coordinated push than the opposing side's $12.6k.
  • Several wallets in the cluster have strong records, including bettors winning 79% to 92% of resolved trades and two serial cross-market traders up $1.3M+ and $1.8M+.
  • Most of the size hit at 60-732, while Bilibili now sits near 492, creating a much better follow price than the original entries.

$115,447 on Bilibili Gaming

6-wallet esports pile-in

This is coordinated one-sided flow into Ninjas in Pyjamas across 6 wallets during a sharp volume spike, and this wallet is an active cross-market trader with a large sample and positive P&L.

  • 6 wallets put $12.6k on the same side as volume surged nearly 29x above normal
  • This trader has 1,101 resolved bets and is up $55.8k lifetime, so the flow is coming from an experienced bettor
  • They sold Bilibili Gaming at 59¢, which translates to buying Ninjas in Pyjamas around 41¢; the market is now 51¢

$1,569 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 60%

6-wallet sharp cluster

Six wallets, including several with strong long-term win rates and profits, piled into the same side of this Game 1 market and drove Ninjas in Pyjamas from 7-38¢/67-81¢ equivalents to 100% within minutes.

  • Six wallets all bet Ninjas in Pyjamas in a $17.9k coordinated push, and 2 wallets are linked by funding.
  • Several wallets have elite track records, including one at 85% wins and +$698k P&L and another at 75% wins across 1,345 resolved bets.
  • They bought as the price ripped about 72 points in minutes, turning entries from 7-81¢ equivalent into a 100¢ winner.

$17,907 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Profitable new wallet whale

A 3-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profits just put $23.7k on Bilibili Gaming during a sharp pre-match volume surge, suggesting real conviction worth watching.

  • A 3-day-old wallet has already made 5 positions, is up $3.6k, and just placed a $23.7k bet
  • This is the wallet's fourth large-bet alert, which points to repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt
  • The market saw a 127x volume spike, so this bet landed as money rushed into the match

$23,722 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc690...42b8 Outcome 77965394, $59,780 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x76cf...9452 Outcome 77965394, $50,090 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x56c9...0d9e Outcome 77965394, $16,217 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x37bb...453c Outcome 77965394, $3,446 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 77965394, $3,188 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xc75a...1ab2 Outcome 77965394, $3,000 (47% win rate)
  7. 0x9256...21a5 Outcome 77965394, $2,837 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x6596...e809 Outcome 77965394, $2,053 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xcb08...b630 Outcome 77965394, $1,787 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x006a...14ed Outcome 77965394, $1,621 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$245,055 tracked12 signalsleague of legendsGamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,126 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 7¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$2,500 on Bilibili Gaming at 50¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$23,560 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 23¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$4,540 on Bilibili Gaming at 50¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$11,856 on Bilibili Gaming at 60¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,804 on Bilibili Gaming at 55¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$115,447 on Bilibili Gaming at 49¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$1,569 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 41¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$17,907 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 81¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$23,722 on Bilibili Gaming at 72¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$36,064 on Bilibili Gaming at 72¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

42d ago

$4,960 on Bilibili Gaming at 73¢

Related Theses