LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
32 signals across 3 markets · $416,894 tracked · resolves Apr 23, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the LPL Group Ascend best-of-three League of Legends match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming. Traders can bet on the overall match winner as well as Game 1 and Game 2 winners, with PolySpotter tracking over $416,000 in smart-money activity and 32 signals across the event. Recent alerts include esports sharp clusters, a NIP pile-in, contrarian buying, and activity from an 85% win-rate sharp bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 15-wallet esports sharp cluster
A 15-wallet cluster put $115k on Bilibili Gaming, including several high-win-rate cross-market bettors and a new wallet already showing profits, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the market snapping back below many entries.
$115,447Score: 25.5 - 9-wallet esports pile-in
Nine wallets piled $52.5k into Bilibili Gaming in a short burst, including several profitable high-volume traders and a new wallet with repeat large bets, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing despite some mixed opposing flow.
$52,453Score: 25.2 - 5-wallet contrarian esports cluster
Five wallets collectively took a sizable contrarian position on Ninjas in Pyjamas in a fast-moving esports market, including profitable traders and a new wallet that has already been betting large across markets.
$23,560Score: 21.4 - 9-wallet NIP pile-in
Nine wallets piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas as the price ripped from the mid-20s to 54%, including several profitable high-volume bettors and a new wallet with a perfect early record.
$24,670Score: 21.1 - 85% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp esports bettor with an 85% win rate bought Bilibili Gaming at 50¢ before a coordinated 11-wallet move pushed the price to 80¢.
$4,540Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 20.5 - 6-wallet sharp cluster
Six wallets, including several with strong long-term win rates and profits, piled into the same side of this Game 1 market and drove Ninjas in Pyjamas from 7-38¢/67-81¢ equivalents to 100% within minutes.
$17,907Score: 20.3 - 11-wallet esports pile-in
A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a large $11.9k buy that joined 11 wallets piling into Bilibili Gaming, helping drive a fast 15-point move in a liquid esports market.
$11,856Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 18.5 - Sharp bettor in 10-wallet wave
A proven high-win-rate esports bettor bought Bilibili Gaming before a coordinated 10-wallet surge that pushed the price from 50% to 92%, suggesting strong informed conviction.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 16.5 - 4-wallet contrarian esports cluster
Four wallets, including one with a 93% win rate, piled into the 10% underdog side after buying much higher prices earlier, creating a coordinated contrarian cluster worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$6,570Score: 16.4 - 96% win-rate serial trader
A highly profitable serial esports trader with a 96% win rate bought Bilibili Gaming into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest stake size.
$1,389Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 15.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd2f359…37f9$56,495 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x76cf02…9452$36,064 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xa5ea13…d96a$13,477 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x85d53e…45ee$8,768 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x3daaa5…65bf$6,630 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xe40548…c67e$5,150 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 57% wins
- 0x37bb5f…453c$4,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xd81230…2558$4,540 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xc69020…42b8$3,461 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xad72ff…4f5e$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the NIP vs Bilibili Gaming prediction-market odds?
The event includes Polymarket odds for the overall BO3 match winner between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming, plus separate markets for Game 1 and Game 2 winners. Odds can move as traders react to roster news, form, draft expectations, and live market activity.
What is smart money doing on NIP vs Bilibili Gaming?
PolySpotter has tracked $416,894 in smart-money activity across 32 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 15-wallet esports sharp cluster, a 9-wallet esports pile-in, a 5-wallet contrarian cluster, a 9-wallet NIP pile-in, and action from an 85% win-rate sharp bettor.
Which markets are included in this event?
This hub covers three related markets: the overall Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming BO3 match winner, the Game 1 winner, and the Game 2 winner. Together, they give a broader view of how prediction-market traders are pricing the matchup.
When does the NIP vs Bilibili Gaming market resolve?
The markets are tied to the LPL Group Ascend match initially scheduled for April 23 at 7:00 AM ET, with resolution expected after the relevant match or game result is known. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated criteria.
Why follow Polymarket odds for this League of Legends match?
Prediction markets can reveal how traders price the matchup in real time, especially when sharp wallets or coordinated clusters start moving. For esports bettors and fans, this can be useful context alongside team form, meta reads, and matchup analysis.