Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,505.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% resolved win rate bought $8.7k of Spirit at 86%, ahead of a major move to 96%.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.36M lifetime.
They bought $8.7k of Spirit at 86%, and the market has already moved to 96%.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $4.2M flagged across 463 markets.

$8,730 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp underdog cluster

High-scoring cluster of proven profitable bettors bought Team Falcons, led by an 88% winner, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $531k bought Team Falcons twice.
Three profitable wallets put $5.9k on the same underdog side, including another bettor up $1.3M lifetime.
Team Falcons is now 36% after they paid about 57% on average, so the current price is far cheaper than their entry.

$5,899 on Team Falcons

96% winner buying Spirit

A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet bought Spirit at 57¢ alongside one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 64¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $88K lifetime.
They bought Spirit at 57¢, and the market has already moved to 64¢.
Four wallets are betting the same way, with $6.1K concentrated on Spirit.

$2,450 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying dip

Surface because a highly profitable 96% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Spirit, with additional one-sided flow totaling $5.05k despite the price moving against the entry.

A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades is backing Spirit and is up $88k lifetime.
This wallet has traded 60 markets across 58 events, suggesting a repeat sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
Spirit is now around 42¢, well below the sharp buyer’s 57¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price if the thesis still holds.

$5,050 on Spirit

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% resolved win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought Team Falcons despite the market later moving against them.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 30 related events with $2.19M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
They bought Team Falcons at 63¢, and the market is now lower at 57¢.

$1,230 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 73%

Coordinated Spirit flow

Four wallets put $11.6k on Spirit amid a major pre-match volume spike, including one profitable high-volume esports-style trader, though the market has since moved sharply against the early entries.

Four wallets backed Spirit for $11.6k during a 25.8x volume spike before Map 1.
The largest buyer has 1,960 resolved bets and is up $408.9k lifetime.
Early buys paid 62¢, but later equivalent buys came near 35¢ after the market swung against Spirit.

$11,616 on Spirit

88% sharp buying Falcons

A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Team Falcons before the price moved from 60¢ to 68¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $530,914 lifetime.
They have traded 301 markets across 166 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Team Falcons at 60¢ before the market moved to 68¢.

$2,330 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader with $185k lifetime P&L is buying Spirit at 60¢ despite only moderate alert severity.

This bettor is up $185k across 987 resolved bets, with over $4.4M previously invested.
They have traded across 297 events, suggesting a broad repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 60¢ implies a clean favorite-side position with room before the current market ceiling.

$4,200 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 72%

80% winner buying Spirit

Proven profitable wallet bought Spirit at 59¢, with an 80% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest detection score.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,866 lifetime.
They bought $2,000 of Spirit at 59¢, backing the current favorite in a liquid market.
Their past bets beat implied odds by about 16 points, suggesting real edge rather than just picking favorites.

$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 21892114, $21,277 (62% win rate)
0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 21892114, $14,999 (96% win rate)
0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 21892114, $13,994 (76% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 21892114, $13,093 (55% win rate)
0x90eb...db79 — Outcome 21892114, $9,242 (69% win rate)
0x3db3...e254 — Outcome 21892114, $5,000
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 21892114, $4,195 (77% win rate)
0x15bd...8c6e — Outcome 21892114, $3,770
0x6df6...8458 — Outcome 21892114, $3,753 (68% win rate)
0x959a...7b64 — Outcome 21892114, $3,060 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

NRG wins maps two through four

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$43,505 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.