Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,101.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

98% winner on World Cup thesis

Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and +$43k P&L, now buying Senegal Yes as part of broader World Cup positioning.

  • This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They are building a broader World Cup thesis across 3 related markets, with $5.3k positioned.
  • Entry at 67¢ suggests they see Senegal advancing as underpriced despite the market drifting lower this week.

$3,524 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

98% winner on World Cup thesis

Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and +$43k P&L, now buying Senegal Yes as part of broader World Cup positioning.

  • This bettor has won 57 of 58 resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They are building a broader World Cup thesis across 3 related markets, with $5.3k positioned.
  • Entry at 67¢ suggests they see Senegal advancing as underpriced despite the market drifting lower this week.

$1,333 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broader World Cup cross-market position, including buying Senegal No at 30¢, though the edge signal is moderate rather than elite.

  • This bettor is up about $277K lifetime across more than 800 resolved markets.
  • They have placed $22K across 6 related World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
  • Entry at 30¢ gives a clear contrarian position against the current 70% Senegal Yes price.

$1,778 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%

Profitable World Cup positioner

A profitable high-volume sports trader is building a broader 6-market World Cup thesis, buying Senegal No at 30¢ as part of $22k in related positions.

  • This bettor is up $276,945 lifetime across more than $32M traded.
  • They are positioning across 6 related World Cup markets, with $22,145 tied to the same event.
  • Buying No at 30¢ goes against the current 70% Yes market price.

$1,466 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%

Top Holders

  1. 0x372b...cbf5 Outcome 95890239, $12,367 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x810d...0d24 Outcome 95890239, $11,821 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x51fd...4272 Outcome 95890239, $10,013
  4. 0xf344...9a04 Outcome 95890239, $3,708 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x4c2a...65dc Outcome 95890239, $3,381 (33% win rate)
  6. 0x5213...6a35 Outcome 95890239, $3,003 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x3b0d...6b6a Outcome 95890239, $2,500
  8. 0x0ffe...be6f Outcome 95890239, $2,380 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xffe8...7cd0 Outcome 95890239, $2,307
  10. 0x337f...c41a Outcome 95890239, $2,000

Related Theses

Established nations reach knockouts

Covers 7 related markets

World Cup shootouts stay under six

Covers 4 related markets

Middle East advances en masse

Covers 6 related markets

Algeria advances after fast start

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Montenegro advances, Portugal eliminated

Covers 2 related markets

Australia Romania Israel miss top five

Covers 3 related markets

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$8,101 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccerTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

23d ago

$3,524 on Yes at 67¢

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

25d ago

$1,333 on Yes at 67¢

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

41d ago

$1,778 on No at 30¢

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

42d ago

$1,466 on No at 30¢

Related Theses