Part of: UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Paddy Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Benoît Saint Denis" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $178,287.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games, UFC 329

Notable Trades

Proven whale adding

Proven profitable cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate is adding a large $75k buy to an already sizable Benoît Saint Denis position during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They added $75k to Benoît Saint Denis and already have over $321k invested at a similar price.
  • Market volume is running 46x above its historical average ahead of the fight.

$75,000 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp bettor adding to Paddy

Proven profitable serial sports trader with an 86% historical win rate is adding to a sizable Paddy Pimblett position at 45¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $809K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.0M+ deployed across 135 events.
  • This is an add-on buy, bringing their Paddy Pimblett exposure above $48K at roughly 45¢.

$15,000 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 88%

94% sharp buying Paddy

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought $6.7k of Paddy at 45¢ amid a pre-fight volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $1.36M lifetime.
  • They have traded 596 markets across 378 events with a 94% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Bought $6.7k of Paddy at 45¢ while market volume is spiking ahead of the fight.

$6,707 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp sports cluster on underdog

Three highly profitable sports-trading wallets, including two with 94% long-run records, bought $17.6k of Paddy Pimblett around 44–45¢ in coordinated flow.

  • Three profitable wallets bought $17.6k of Paddy Pimblett at 44–45¢.
  • Two of the bettors win 94% of resolved trades and are up about $1.9M combined.
  • One wallet is adding to an existing Paddy position, showing increased conviction.

$9,365 on Paddy Pimblett

94% winner adding Paddy

A highly profitable sports/cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to a Paddy Pimblett position at 44¢.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved positions and is up $557K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1.0M deployed across 31 events.
  • They are adding to an existing Paddy position at 44¢, signaling continued conviction.

$5,000 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite sports sharp backs Benoît

A hugely profitable sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $14.9M P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $14.9M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 202 events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 57¢ implies they still see value despite Benoît already being the favorite.

$1,998 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 99%

Three-wallet fight steam

Three wallets added $41.7k on Benoît Saint Denis during a major pre-fight volume spike, though wallet track records are not especially strong.

  • Three wallets bought $41.7k of Benoît Saint Denis at 56¢ in the same direction.
  • Market volume is running 142x above normal ahead of the fight, suggesting fresh pre-event positioning.
  • Two wallets were already holding Saint Denis and added more at the same price.

$12,008 on Benoît Saint Denis

$4.3M-profit fight bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a large sample is adding nearly $50k to an existing Benoît Saint Denis position at 55¢.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 550 resolved bets and is up $4.27M lifetime.
  • They added $49.5k at 55¢, bringing their Benoît Saint Denis position above $91k invested.
  • Their average winning entry is 53¢, so a 55¢ buy is close to the price range where they have historically found edge.

$49,499 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market history bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢ one week before the fight.

  • This bettor is up $103k lifetime across 480 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 29 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 57¢ implies they see Benoît Saint Denis as meaningfully more likely than the market’s current 56% odds.

$1,710 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 64%

84% winner backs BSD

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $84k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • A $2k buy at 57¢ is meaningful versus the market’s $8.6k 24h volume.

$2,000 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 87%

Related Theses

Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

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Argentina advances in high-scoring regulation

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European team wins World Cup

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LeBron leaves Miami

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JD Vance will win GOP nomination

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Cardinals cover in high-scoring game

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Knicks win high-scoring game

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Spurs win high-scoring game

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Türkiye wins high-scoring rout

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Thunder win low-scoring matchup

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UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett
100¢
Benoît Saint Denis
0¢

This market will resolve to "Paddy Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Benoît Saint Denis" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 02:05 UTC

$75,000 on Benoît Saint Denis at 55¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 01:28 UTC

$15,000 on Paddy Pimblett at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 01:09 UTC

$6,707 on Paddy Pimblett at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 02:33 UTC

$9,365 on Paddy Pimblett at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 00:40 UTC

$5,000 on Paddy Pimblett at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-11 20:20 UTC

$1,998 on Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-12 00:27 UTC

$12,008 on Benoît Saint Denis at 56¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-11 17:35 UTC

$49,499 on Benoît Saint Denis at 55¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-04 12:54 UTC

$1,710 on Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

2026-07-04 03:37 UTC

$2,000 on Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiat…Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiat…Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs G…
Argentina advances in high-scoring regulation
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Argentina vs. Switzerland: Wil…Argentina vs. Switzerland: Tea…Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U…
European team wins World Cup
Wallet_0x83720 trades 5 related markets
Will France win the 2026 FIFA …Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will England win the 2026 FIFA…
LeBron leaves Miami
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Will LeBron James play for the…Will LeBron James play for the…Will LeBron James play for the…
JD Vance will win GOP nomination
Wallet_0x83720 trades 2 related markets
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 …Yes
Cardinals cover in high-scoring game
Wallet_0xc8075 trades 4 related markets
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Spread: 49ers (-8.5)Spread: 49ers (-7.5)
Knicks win high-scoring game
Wallet_0x86e99 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.…Spread: Knicks (-2.5)
Spurs win high-scoring game
Wallet_0x86e99 trades 3 related markets
Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
Türkiye wins high-scoring rout
Wallet_0x86e99 trades 4 related markets
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye …Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
Thunder win low-scoring matchup
Wallet_0x86e99 trades 7 related markets
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Spurs vs. ThunderSpread: Thunder (-5.5)