Part of: Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,120.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor caught breakout

A profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Marta Kostyuk before a major 36-point move, with supporting volume spike and price impact signals.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 463 resolved trades and is up $124K lifetime.
  • They bought $5.2K of Marta Kostyuk at 78¢ before the market jumped to 92¢.
  • The market saw a 15x volume spike and a 36-point move in Kostyuk’s favor.

$5,192 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 76%

$6M sharp leads 8-wallet cluster

High-confidence Potapova flow led by two very profitable wallets and an 8-wallet same-side cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.

  • A bettor with 92% wins and $6.1M profit bought $9.4k of Potapova.
  • 8 wallets put $23.3k on the same side within minutes, including another bettor with 89% wins.
  • Their average entry was about 41¢, while Potapova is now 22¢ after the move faded.

$23,304 on Anastasia Potapova

3-wallet Potapova momentum cluster

Three wallets bought the Potapova side together and drove a sharp 12–19 point odds move, though the traders' histories are mixed and the entry has already moved materially.

  • Three wallets all backed Potapova, turning a 22¢ underdog entry into a 38¢ market price.
  • Kostyuk’s price fell 19 points during the flow, suggesting this was real market-moving momentum.
  • The average effective entry was about 27¢, so the edge is strongest only if Potapova can be bought near that level.

$7,310 on Anastasia Potapova

Profitable serial bettor backs favorite

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% win rate and $6.8M profit bought $13.8k of Kostyuk amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,190 events, suggesting a deep sports betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • A $13.8k buy at 85¢ came during a 48x volume spike before the match.

$13,771 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 73%

95% win-rate sports sharp

Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Marta Kostyuk at 84¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $164k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 149 events with a 95% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 84¢ is slightly below the current 86¢ market price.

$2,500 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% sports sharp buying Kostyuk

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% record is buying Marta Kostyuk with meaningful size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $651K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 124 sports events with nearly $946K in tracked activity.
  • A $5.6K buy at 73¢ suggests confidence that Kostyuk is still underpriced.

$5,571 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner, $635k profit

Highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record is buying Marta Kostyuk at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $635k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 123 events with the same 93% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 73¢ means they are backing Kostyuk despite already being the market favorite.

$3,473 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xde9f...b8f7 Outcome 38983027, $85,827 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x6f8b...01aa Outcome 38983027, $74,275 (39% win rate)
  3. 0x5877...d894 Outcome 38983027, $22,000 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x9734...bb94 Outcome 38983027, $16,008 (41% win rate)
  5. 0x0165...8235 Outcome 38983027, $11,687 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x8f3c...2f57 Outcome 38983027, $9,429 (43% win rate)
  7. 0x5ccf...c116 Outcome 38983027, $6,014 (40% win rate)
  8. 0x9367...f6be Outcome 38983027, $5,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0xbd2d...0344 Outcome 38983027, $4,444 (82% win rate)
  10. 0xf41a...ea2b Outcome 38983027, $4,251 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

ResolvedMadrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova$61,120 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Anastasia Potapova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$5,192 on Marta Kostyuk at 78¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$23,304 on Anastasia Potapova at 41¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$7,310 on Anastasia Potapova at 27¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$13,771 on Marta Kostyuk at 85¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$2,500 on Marta Kostyuk at 84¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$5,571 on Marta Kostyuk at 73¢

Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova

12d ago

$3,473 on Marta Kostyuk at 73¢

Related Theses