Part of: Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

This prediction market asks whether Anthropic’s public or private valuation will exceed Bitcoin’s market capitalization at any point before December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if Anthropic flips BTC by valuation using accepted public data sources; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,010 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal that a sharp bettor exited YES.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,010.

Categories: Tech, Crypto Prices, Big Tech, AI, Crypto

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor exits YES

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 82% record sold Yes, implying a No view, though this appears to be an exit from a prior Yes position rather than a fresh standalone bet.

  • This bettor has won 82% of resolved trades and is profitable across 11 positions.
  • They sold Yes at 52¢, which converts to buying No at 48¢.
  • The $1k trade is meaningful in a quiet market with under $4k of 24h volume.

$1,010 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5a7b...e9eb — Yes, $14,253 (86% win rate)
  2. 0xa9e6...1dc2 — Yes, $6,226 (81% win rate)
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $6,105 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x8454...331a — No, $6,002 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xeca0...e8f8 — No, $3,001 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xf470...8a5f — No, $2,228
  7. 0x47e7...ecbf — No, $2,000
  8. 0x933c...b820 — Yes, $1,659
  9. 0xc7e5...2d3a — Yes, $1,386 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x7a7c...eca0 — No, $1,297 (100% win rate)

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

231dWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$1,010 tracked1 signalTechCrypto PricesBig TechAICrypto
Yes
53¢
No
48¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
54¢
51¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

2h ago

$1,010 on No at 48¢

48¢→48¢