Part of: US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the US Open ATP match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul, scheduled for September 6, 2026. It resolves to Alcaraz if he wins by at least three sets; otherwise, it resolves to Paul, with special rules for an incomplete match. The market currently has $1,560 in tracked smart money and one signal, including a recent alert about a wallet scaling Alcaraz.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,560.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New profitable wallet scaling Alcaraz

A one-day-old profitable wallet is aggressively adding to an Alcaraz handicap position in a thin market, though its track record is still small.

  • This one-day-old wallet has won all 3 resolved bets and is up $1,727.
  • It is adding $1,560 to Alcaraz at 38¢, despite already investing $4,134 in the same outcome.
  • The bet represents 67% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin tennis market.

$1,560 on Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 20571419, $5,000 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x8089...f935 — Outcome 20571419, $3,000 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x1f17...9c47 — Outcome 20571419, $234
  4. 0xae0b...0913 — Outcome 20571419, $78
  5. 0x70dc...1dfd — Outcome 20571419, $60 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x167a...d542 — Outcome 20571419, $49
  7. 0x449f...c970 — Outcome 20571419, $42
  8. 0x0458...5faf — Outcome 20571419, $40
  9. 0x853e...f16a — Outcome 20571419, $33
  10. 0x0d8c...51b0 — Outcome 20571419, $23

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)

1dUS Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz$1,560 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 3 or more sets than Tommy Paul, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Paul." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Paul." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)

4d ago

$1,560 on Alcaraz at 38¢