US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
12 signals across 4 markets · $57,462 tracked · resolves Sep 13, 2026
Track the Polymarket prediction market for the 2026 US Open ATP match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz, with outcomes covering either player advancing. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,315 in smart money on the event, including a signal showing 89% of winner backing on Alcaraz.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner scales into Paul
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,500 to an existing Paul position despite the market moving against it.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.8 - Sharp bettor scales into Paul
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate is adding $2,746 to an already concentrated Paul position in an exceptionally thin market.
$2,746Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.5 - 37-0 serial tennis bettor
A proven serial bettor with a 37-0 record and substantial edge bought Carlos Alcaraz at 79 cents, though the position is now effectively resolved at 100 cents.
$1,597Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - Sharp bettor scales into Paul
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate is adding $2,746 to an already concentrated Paul position in an exceptionally thin market.
$1,428Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.4 - 91% winner adds to Alcaraz
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate added $8,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position amid a major volume spike.
$7,998Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.9 - 89% winner backs Alcaraz
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate made a fresh $2,314 buy on Carlos Alcaraz near the current market price.
$2,315Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 4.9 - 98% winner adds to Alcaraz
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 84%.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 4.7 - 98% winner adds to Alcaraz
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 84%.
$20,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 4.7 - Veteran serial trader backs Alcaraz
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought Carlos Alcaraz below current market odds during a major volume spike.
$3,019Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4 - New profitable wallet scaling Alcaraz
A one-day-old profitable wallet is aggressively adding to an Alcaraz handicap position in a thin market, though its track record is still small.
$1,560Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf3b04d…23a1$30,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 98% wins
- 0x772f88…8145$7,998 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf3a6ac…71bd$4,173 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$3,019 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$2,901 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf12f76…b30f$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x5fd86d…ce32$2,315 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x554d21…eb95$1,597 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x598f4a…9429$1,560 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x18de09…7c92$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket displays live market-implied odds for Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz advancing. Check the event page for the latest prices, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is the smart money betting on in this match?
The tracked smart-money activity currently favors Carlos Alcaraz: a recent alert reports that 89% of winner backing went to Alcaraz. PolySpotter tracks $2,315 across the event and one smart-money signal.
What outcomes are traded in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction market?
The event covers two outcomes: Tommy Paul advances or Carlos Alcaraz advances in their US Open ATP match.
When does the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match determines a winner, with the event listed to resolve by September 13, 2026. If the match is canceled, tied, or no winner is determined by the stated deadline, the exchange rules apply.